US Elections

President Donald Trump escaped two of the extra uncomfortable Republican runoff checks of the 2026 cycle Tuesday night time, simply as prediction markets anticipated he would.  Sen. Darline Graham Nordone received South Carolina’s particular GOP Senate nomination over Rep. Ralph Norman, whereas Mike Mazzei edged Attorney General Gentner Drummond for Oklahoma’s Republican gubernatorial nomination. Both…

The Oklahoma Republican governor runoff is the most recent 2026 take a look at of a sample prediction markets have struggled with: a President Donald Trump-backed favourite can look near inevitable earlier than the primary vote, solely to search out the precise voters quite a bit much less settled. Mike Mazzei was priced near 90%…

Texas and Iowa have gotten central to the 2026 argument over whether or not Democrats can genuinely broaden the Senate map or are merely benefiting from a burst of early-cycle polling.  Cook Political Report’s latest update places each states’ Senate races within the Toss Up column, whereas transferring Iowa’s governor race to Lean Democratic and…

Sen. Darline Graham Nordone has the appointment, President Donald Trump’s endorsement and the strongest prediction market value in South Carolina’s particular Senate race. What she nonetheless lacks is the Republican nomination. The interim senator, appointed to fill the seat left vacant by her late brother, Sen. Lindsey Graham, did not win a majority within the…

Prediction markets accurately traded on the highest Minnesota primaries proper Tuesday evening, accurately calling Democratic Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan’s Senate win, former sports activities broadcaster Michele Tafoya’s Republican nomination and each gubernatorial nominees.  It was a robust restoration after prediction markets’ uneven Wisconsin efficiency, the place markets were overly confident in progressive Democratic State Rep….

The Wisconsin Democratic governor major has change into the most recent check of a progressive wave that has already reshaped races throughout the nation in the course of the 2026 midterm major cycle.  State Rep. Francesca Hong is polling effectively, buying and selling like a near-lock, and headed into Tuesday as the candidate more than…