ChatGPT Says This Is How You Should Trade Bitcoin Ahead of Friday’s US CPI Print

Following weeks of subdued momentum, Bitcoin faces a key take a look at with Friday’s US inflation knowledge on deck. The September CPI report arrives as we speak, October 24, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. ET (12:30 PM UTC) and is prone to affect the market’s short-term danger urge for food. 

Consensus estimates name for a 0.4% rise in headline inflation and 0.3% in core costs month over month. 

Current Bitcoin Market Overview

Bitcoin has hovered across the $107,000 to $111,000 vary after pulling again from early-October highs close to $126,000. Short-term possibility volatility has climbed again into the 30s, which signifies that merchants are positioning for motion however not bracing for main stress.

Meanwhile, funding charges throughout major exchanges stay close to impartial, which suggests restricted directional conviction forward of the info.

Overall, the setup appears to be like balanced on paper. But then, positioning typically flips quick when macro knowledge lands.

Considering all potentialities, we requested ChatGPT how it might deal with Bitcoin within the lead-up to Friday’s CPI launch to achieve a data-driven perspective. Here’s what got here out of that alternate:

Pre-print Game Plan

ChatGPT recommends reducing leverage earlier than the discharge. And it is smart too, contemplating how CPI knowledge can flip markets in seconds (and slippage widens proper on the print). 

If it’s essential to keep uncovered, one protected method to go about it might be to hedge with short-dated places (1–7 days). In different phrases, it’s finest to arrange your “cease” earlier than the quantity hits. Once the info is out, reassess positioning solely after volatility settles.

When the Number Lands

The CPI hits at 12:30 PM UTC, and that’s when chaos normally kicks in. The first candle typically traps each longs and shorts earlier than course turns into clear. You will see spreads widen and liquidity vanish for just a few seconds. 

So, the smarter transfer underneath these circumstances can be to attend it out and let the mud settle. Only then commerce, as soon as order books normalize.

After the Print: Three Possible Paths

• Hot CPI (above 0.4 %): ChatGPT expects a stronger USD, greater yields, and short-term Bitcoin weak point. In case help breaks, you’ll most likely be higher off staying defensive or tightening your stops.
• In-line CPI: Volatility possible collapses; possibility sellers profit. In this case, hold place sizes gentle till course turns into clear.
• Cool CPI (beneath expectations): Bitcoin may rebound if DXY and two-year yields drop. Wait for a clear reclaim of resistance earlier than going lengthy.

Keep a watch on the pre-print high and low, together with VWAP. A decisive reclaim or breakdown normally confirms bias for the subsequent 12 to 24 hours. Option premiums stay costly, so keep on with defined-risk setups like spreads quite than bare choices.

According to ChatGPT, even when inflation softens a bit, the annual fee ought to keep close to 3%, which might hold the “higher-for-longer” debate alive. That means BTC will possible mirror shifts in yield expectations greater than the rest.

The Bottom Line

So, to chop a protracted story quick, you might be strolling into this CPI with sentiment tilted, not settled. 

Bitcoin already priced half of the inflation risk, so a impartial print may set off a fast rally as merchants unwind hedges. A warmer-than-expected quantity, nonetheless, favors a short-term pullback earlier than any restoration try.

Given the setup, the smarter play right here is stability. Overall, you may need to think about cutting down danger earlier than the discharge. Hedge in the event you should, and react to what the info reveals as an alternative of guessing it. 

If yields begin to cool and Bitcoin climbs again above resistance, the upside appears to be like cleaner. If not, count on worth swings to flatten quick as soon as volatility drains out of the system.

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