“Comes In Like a Bear…” — Tom Lee’s Surprising Call on March Markets | US Crypto News
Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your important rundown of a very powerful developments in crypto for the day forward.
Grab a espresso — as a result of whereas headlines scream battle, oil shocks, and AI nervousness, one Wall Street strategist says the panic could already be priced in. Beneath February’s volatility, a quieter shift could possibly be forming as March checks whether or not worry has overshot actuality.
Crypto News of the Day: March May Be the Market’s Turning Point, Tom Lee Says
As geopolitical tensions rise and buyers digest a unstable February, Tom Lee is making a contrarian name: March may mark a decisive rebound throughout equities and crypto.
The Head of Research at Fundstrat Global Advisors believes markets are as soon as once more reacting to headlines slightly than fundamentals.
Despite fears of escalating conflict within the Middle East and renewed oil volatility, Lee argues that historical past favors resilience, not retreat.
“I believe March goes to probably be an up month,” Lee said in a latest tv look, pushing again in opposition to the prevailing warning that adopted February’s weak spot.
Markets Often Bottom When Fear Peaks
Lee’s thesis hinges on a acquainted market sample: equities tend to sell off into geopolitical buildups, solely to get better as soon as uncertainty crests.
While the spike in volatility has rattled buyers, he doesn’t see a structural deterioration within the US economic system. In prior geopolitical episodes, markets have sometimes stabilized as soon as the worst-case situations fail to materialize.
“The worst of the selloff goes to occur this week,” Lee said, suggesting that threat premiums could already mirror elevated nervousness.
His view implies that February’s drawdown was extra about sentiment than systemic stress, setting the stage for a March rebound.
Oil Shock, But Not a Recession Trigger
Energy markets stay central to investor considerations. Rising crude prices threaten to filter by provide chains, strain customers, and revive inflation fears.
Lee doesn’t dismiss the inflationary affect. Oil, he famous, touches practically each nook of the worldwide economic system. But traditionally, oil shocks have tended to tip economies into recession solely when development was already fragile.
“That’s not the place we’re,” he emphasised.
Instead of signaling an imminent downturn, Lee sees the oil spike as a momentary worth shock. While it could pressure sentiment and shopper psychology in an inflation-sensitive atmosphere, he doesn’t imagine it is going to basically derail US development.
A Dovish Fed?
Crucially, Lee argues that energy-driven volatility may nudge policymakers in a extra accommodative course.
Rather than deciphering higher oil prices as a reason to tighten policy, Lee suggests the Federal Reserve could lean dovish if power prices threaten to gradual exercise. This aligns with latest assertions from former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.
According to Lee, nevertheless, policymakers would probably prioritize cushioning development dangers slightly than mechanically reacting to headline inflation. This mirrors latest remarks from economics Professor Steve Hanke in a assertion to BeInCrypto.
“Commodity costs transfer; these are relative to the costs of different items, different providers, and so forth. But it relies upon on what the central banks do as a result of all inflation is all the time and in every single place a financial phenomenon,” Hanke told BeInCrypto.
That dynamic, if realized, may present a supportive backdrop for threat property into the spring.
Crypto within the “Final Stages” of Bottoming
Lee extends his rebound thesis past equities to digital property. He believes software program shares, the “Magnificent Seven,” and crypto are within the “last phases” of bottoming.
While acknowledging that the market stays in what many describe as a crypto winter, he factors to strengthening fundamentals beneath the floor.
On Ethereum, Lee argues that increasing tokenization exercise, together with the regular rollout of tokenized funds, is constructing long-term worth.
If financial exercise more and more migrates onto Ethereum’s community, he believes worth appreciation will finally comply with. This is as soon as capital rotates again from conventional arduous property like gold and silver.
In brief, Lee sees the divergence between worth and underlying improvement as momentary.
Growth Scare or Just Risk Premium?
Concerns about widening credit score spreads and personal credit score stress have fueled speak of a broader development scare. Lee stays unconvinced.
He factors to indicators reminiscent of trucking rejection charges as proof that the economic system could also be stabilizing and even accelerating, slightly than contracting.
To him, February “felt worse than it was.” Markets, down modestly on the month, have been grappling with an elevated threat premium slightly than collapsing fundamentals.
If Lee is true, March may problem the prevailing narrative, arriving “like a bear,” however exiting like a bull.
Chart of the Day
This chart reveals the S&P 500 (black line) holding comparatively steady by the second half of February whereas the VIX (blue line) experiences sharp swings, together with a notable spike towards the top of the month.
When the VIX rises, it displays growing demand for draw back safety, basically, rising investor nervousness.
However, on this case, regardless of volatility surging, the S&P 500 didn’t collapse proportionally. That suggests the chance premium expanded quicker than the precise worth injury.
Byte-Sized Alpha
Here’s a abstract of extra US crypto information to comply with at this time:
- Core Scientific colocation income surges 268% amid mixed Q4 results.
- Iranian crypto exchanges report $10 million in outflows as geopolitical tensions rise.
- Credit markets flash warning signs: How it may spill into crypto.
- Here’s how a lot $1,000 invested in Bitcoin in 2010 is value at this time.
- Three causes Bitcoin could enter a multi-month medium-term uptrend.
- PMI stays above 50—Is altcoin season waking up in 2026?
Crypto Equities Pre-Market Overview
| Company | Close As of March 2 | Pre-Market Overview |
| Strategy (MSTR) | $137.65 | $132.77 (-3.55%) |
| Coinbase (COIN) | $185.24 | $177.99 (-3.91%) |
| Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) | $21.73 | $20.65 (-4.97%) |
| MARA Holdings (MARA) | $9.45 | $9.03 (-4.44%) |
| Riot Platforms (RIOT) | $16.43 | $15.86 (-3.47%) |
| Core Scientific (CORZ) | $16.49 | $15.99 (-3.03%) |
The publish “Comes In Like a Bear…” — Tom Lee’s Surprising Call on March Markets | US Crypto News appeared first on BeInCrypto.
