Dogecoin Is Repeating Its 2020 Accumulation Cycle, Analyst Says
Crypto analyst Cryptollica (@Cryptollica on X) is arguing that Dogecoin’s weekly chart is doing that acquainted factor once more: carving out a rounded base, bleeding off volatility, resetting momentum and quietly organising what he frames because the “calm earlier than the storm.”
Or, at the least, that’s the pitch. In a Dec. 23 TradingView analysis titled “DOGE: The Cycle Repeats (1W Timeframe),” Cryptollica calls the present construction a “textbook fractal setup,” pointing to 4 prior “structural factors (1, 2, 3, 4)” throughout DOGE’s longer-term historical past and claiming the market is now sitting at “Point 4.” The core declare is much less a few single indicator and extra about sample recognition: “the construction is rhyming completely with the pre-bull run accumulation phases of the previous.”
Will Dogecoin Repeat History?
Cryptollica frames Zones 1 and a couple of as prior “boredom phases” — the kind of lengthy, dead-feeling stretches that, in hindsight, appear to be accumulation. “Zones 1 & 2: These have been the ‘boredom phases’ the place volatility died, and sensible cash gathered,” the submit reads.
Zone 2, specifically, is described as “the launchpad for the huge 2021 parabolic run.” The present interval, which the analyst labels Zone 4, is offered as a near-mirror: “We are seeing the very same rounding backside formation. The worth is stabilizing, forming a heavy base similar to it did earlier than the earlier explosions.”
That’s the structural argument. The momentum argument is RSI, and Cryptollica is unusually direct about how they’re treating it: “Look on the RSI indicator on the backside. The crimson line (~32. degree) acts as a historic flooring.”
They add that “each single time the weekly RSI touched or hovered close to this baseline (Points 1, 2, and three), it marked a macro backside.” Right now, of their learn, “the RSI has reset again to this essential help degree,” which they interpret as vendor fatigue: “It signifies that the sellers are exhausted and the momentum is primed to flip.”
If you’ve been round crypto markets lengthy sufficient, you’ve seen this actual rhetorical transfer: the previous as a template, the current as a rhyme, the long run as a pending punchline. Cryptollica tries to pre-empt the eye-roll by insisting the setup isn’t coincidence: “This isn’t simply random noise; it’s a cyclical reset.” The submit argues DOGE is sitting in what they name “the ‘Golden Pocket’ for accumulation,” and means that if the 2020-era analog holds “prefer it did in 2020 (Zone 2)” then right now’s worth motion is principally quiet loading time.
The editorial equipment at TradingView itself leaned in. The platform responded publicly on Dec. 23 that the publication “has been chosen as considered one of our Editor’s Picks and might be featured on the Home Page,” including a line that reads like the home model for group encouragement: “Good buying and selling plans are useful, no matter their outcomes, and significantly rewarding once they succeed.” Cryptollica replied in sort: “TradingView, thanks.”
Still, one of many extra helpful components of this entire thread is a cautionary remark from one other consumer, ZarinSyed, who primarily says: sure, the fractal is attention-grabbing, no, that doesn’t imply it’s destiny. “The fractal evaluation is compelling,” they wrote, “nevertheless, whereas the setup does resemble prior accumulation phases, it’s value noting that fractals usually are not deterministic — macro situations and liquidity flows can alter outcomes.” They put a sensible marker on what “affirmation” would appear to be of their view: “Watching DOGE’s weekly shut above the $0.15–$0.17 vary may validate the bullish thesis.”
And they don’t let RSI off the hook, both. The ~32 degree might sign exhaustion, they concede, however “momentum affirmation typically requires a sustained transfer above the midline (50). Until then, the danger of extended sideways motion stays.” They add a market-structure wrinkle that issues for 2026-style crypto narratives: “Unlike 2020, DOGE now trades in a extra mature market with ETF-driven institutional flows. Retail-driven fractals might play out in another way.”
So what does it imply, in plain dealer phrases, with out pretending the chart is prophecy? Cryptollica is making a high-conviction, weekly-timeframe declare that DOGE is again in an accumulation “purchase zone,” with RSI close to a historic flooring and a rounded base that resembles prior cycle setups.
ZarinSyed is principally saying: superb, now show it, ideally with a breakout and follow-through, and keep watch over relative metrics like DOGE/BTC dominance if you wish to know whether or not this can be a DOGE story or simply one other alt wobble.
At press time, DOGE traded at $