ETH Crashes 12% Weekly: Is a Drop to $2,600 Next?
Ethereum (ETH) has dropped sharply after failing to maintain above the $3,400 resistance degree. The transfer has pushed the worth beneath a key help line, triggering elevated promoting throughout each spot and derivatives markets.
As of press time, ETH trades arpimd at $2,960, down almost 12% over the previous week. Trading exercise has picked up, however patrons seem to be stepping again.
Rejection at $3,400 Triggers Sell-Off
Ethereum was halted close to $3,400, a degree merchants had been watching. Analyst Kamran Asghar mentioned the rejection got here “completely off the OTE promoting space,” referring to a zone usually focused by sellers. After that transfer, the worth broke via ascending help, placing the $2,600 zone again in focus.
$Ethereum Rejected & Ejected.
Perfectly performed off the OTE Selling Area at $3,400. We’ve now snapped the ascending help, and the trail of least resistance is wanting like a journey again to the $2,600 worth space. pic.twitter.com/6JQuZIqpmY
— 𝐊𝐚𝐦𝐫𝐚𝐧 𝐀𝐬𝐠𝐡𝐚𝐫 (@Karman_1s) January 21, 2026
In the previous day, Ethereum misplaced almost 5% whereas quantity rose to over $31 billion. Derivatives quantity additionally climbed 40%, reaching $71.75 billion, per CoinGlass information. But open curiosity fell by about 5% to $39.35 billion, exhibiting many merchants have been closing positions as a substitute of including threat.
Meanwhile, heatmap information from order books present heavy shopping for curiosity sitting beneath the present value. Analyst Kriptoholder noted demand within the $2,800–$2,850 vary, with bigger purchase partitions round $2,500–$2,600.
These areas might appeal to patrons if the asset drops additional. Pointing to giant pending orders from greater gamers, Kriptoholder mentioned,
“The order guide heatmap transparently reveals the true liquidity depth resting beneath the worth motion.”
ETF Outflows and Falling Exchange Reserves
US spot ETH ETFs recorded internet outflows of $229.95 million on January 20, ending a five-day influx streak (per SoSoValue’s information). The shift in move path got here throughout the identical interval as the worth decline, suggesting attainable profit-taking or lowered short-term confidence.

Meanwhile, ETH held on centralized exchanges continues to shrink. According to CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain, reserves have dropped to 16.2 million ETH, the bottom since 2016. Binance alone noticed a fall from 4.168 million to 4.0 million tokens since early January.
In addition, Ethereum staking additionally hit a new document, with extra cash being locked up than ever earlier than. This reduces circulating provide and will help value as soon as promoting stress fades.
Longer-Term Setup Remains in Focus
Some merchants are anticipating a bigger setup to play out. As CryptoPotato reported, ETH could also be forming an inverse head-and-shoulders sample, with a attainable breakout goal close to $4,400. That degree would wish to be cleared for the construction to be confirmed.
Elsewhere, a publish from Bitcoinsensus raised the query: “Is a $10K ETH on the desk for this cycle?” Based on previous cycles and lowered returns, the estimate advised a attainable vary of $10K–$15K. However, market circumstances stay fluid, and the near-term pattern has turned decrease.
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