Ethereum Price Prediction: $536M BTC ETF Outflows Trigger ETH Liquidity Test – Can $3,800 Support Hold?
Ethereum is trying to regular above $3,984, whilst main spot Bitcoin ETFs noticed $536 million in web outflows on October 16, one of many heaviest single-day withdrawals since mid-2025. The sell-off marked a shift in institutional sentiment, briefly pulling liquidity from each BTC and ETH markets.
According to the information shared by Wu Blockchain, not one of the twelve Bitcoin ETFs noticed inflows on that day. On the opposite hand, spot Ethereum ETFs suffered $56.88 million in outflows, although BlackRock’s ETHA did publish some modest web inflows.
This divergence between the 2 highlights the blended urge for food for digital asset publicity, as merchants weigh the professionals and cons of leaping in in the course of the present volatility in opposition to taking part in it long run and holding on by each the unhealthy and good instances.
Market watchers are warning that if these ETF outflows proceed, particularly if they’re giant, liquidity within the crypto markets may get tight. And that may be unhealthy information. On the opposite hand, ETH’s capacity to remain above its key assist ranges is an efficient signal that holders nonetheless think about the coin and aren’t panicking but.
Ethereum Defends Key Support Zone
Despite ETF-driven strain, Ethereum continues to respect its $3,930–$3,950 assist band, which has acted as a powerful protection since early October. The value not too long ago broke out of a symmetrical triangle, a consolidation sample that usually precedes directional strikes.
A decisive candle shut above each the 50-EMA and 200-EMA confirms renewed bullish momentum. The breakout candle additionally shaped a bullish engulfing sample, signaling that purchasing energy is overcoming prior weak spot.
Meanwhile, the RSI studying at 68 signifies a wholesome restoration with out tipping into overbought circumstances, leaving room for additional upside. The sequence of upper lows on the two-hour chart reinforces ETH’s underlying bullish construction, displaying accumulation from technical patrons.
Ethereum Technical Outlook: Path Toward $4,300
If Ethereum manages to remain above $3,930, the following vital stage of resistance is available in round $4,093. From there, it’d make one other run towards $4,299. If it breaks that stage, it might set off a retest of $4,554 and full a full measurement of the latest consolidation vary.
But, if it fails to carry, ETH might find yourself sliding right down to $3,713 and even $3,510 if the market draw back actually will get going.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Support: $3,930 / $3,713 / $3,510
- Resistance: $4,093 / $4,299 / $4,554
Trade Setup and Outlook
For anybody making an attempt to choose up a fast revenue, an extended commerce above $3,950 with a stop-loss at $3,710 appears like a fairly good wager – and the upside targets are between $4,299 and $4,554 if the momentum retains going.
Looking forward, Ethereum’s capacity to carry its floor whereas the ETFs are getting drained of money might decide the place the crypto market goes subsequent. If $3,800 can maintain agency, ETH might regain its lead amongst altcoins as capital rotation picks up and market sentiment shifts in the direction of restoration.
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