Ethereum Price Prediction: What Happens to ETH if $2.9K Support Is Decisively Lost?
Ethereum is at present in a broad sideways construction, with the spot worth buying and selling beneath the primary trend-defining transferring averages whereas on-chain exercise reveals early indicators of stabilization. The market is in a neutral-to-cautious state. Downside danger stays current on the charts, however structural help zones and bettering community utilization maintain the medium-term outlook open for a possible restoration as soon as promoting strain exhausts.
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
On the day by day timeframe, ETH has been rejected decrease from the current consolidation beneath the declining 100-day transferring common, with the 200-day transferring common nonetheless positioned increased and confirming a medium-term downtrend. The worth is buying and selling across the $2,900 area after one other decisive rejection from the $3,400–$3,500 provide band, leaving the $2,600–$2,700 zone as the primary main demand zone.
A sustained lack of the $2,700 space would enhance the chance of a deeper transfer towards the $2,200 help space. The day by day RSI has pulled again from impartial ranges and is drifting towards oversold territory, signalling that momentum is bearish but additionally that the market is approaching a zone the place draw back extension could start to gradual if contemporary sellers don’t seem.
ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour chart reveals ETH breaking beneath the rising trendline that had related increased lows because the November backside, successfully breaking the symmetrical triangle construction. The asset is now consolidating just below the previous $3,000 help band, which has became short-term resistance. Repeated failures to reclaim this space would maintain intraday strain skewed towards the $2,800 stage and, if weak spot persists, down towards the foremost $2,500-$2,600 demand zone.
The 4-hour RSI has already printed oversold readings and is trying to stabilize, suggesting that whereas intraday momentum is detrimental, the market could transition right into a uneven consolidation part quite than a direct impulsive leg decrease if the present short-term help zone holds.
On-Chain Analysis
Looking at on-chain exercise, Ethereum’s whole transaction rely and its 30-day EMA have been trending increased from the depressed ranges seen in early 2025, at the same time as the worth has just lately corrected from all-time highs again towards $2,900. This mixture of declining worth and rising transactional exercise usually displays a shift from speculative extra towards extra natural community utilization, as weaker fingers scale back publicity whereas a base of energetic customers stays engaged.
If the present upturn in transaction counts persists or accelerates whereas worth consolidates above the primary demand zones, it could sign that elementary community demand is absorbing provide. This is traditionally a constructive backdrop for a medium-term restoration. Failure of exercise to maintain these positive aspects, against this, would argue for viewing the current bounce as primarily technical quite than essentially supported.
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