Here’s Why Robinhood Chain Is Ultra Bullish for ETH Despite Cannibalizing Revenue
Robinhood Chain has generated $816,000 in gross income since launching on July 1, with 89% captured by Robinhood, 10% by Arbitrum as middleware, and solely 0.15%, or $1,538, paid to Ethereum for settlement, which doesn’t sound nice.
Robinhood Chain is an EVM-compatible Arbitrum-based layer-2 community that makes use of ETH as its native gasoline token, however Ethereum will not be seeing any income advantages but.
Bullish or Bearish for Ethereum?
Lorenzo Valente, director of analysis at Ark Invest, mentioned, “If your thesis is ‘ETH is cash,’ Robinhood constructing right here is extremely bullish.” “More exercise, extra ETH collateral, extra lindyness,” he added.
However, for those that consider ETH is a revenue-generating asset, “that is the ultra-bear case.” He added that Robinhood was by no means going to construct on Solana, Sui, or any “monolithic layer-1” as a result of it needs stack customization.
“They wish to be landlords, not renters. Ethereum received this deal on benefit. It’s simply not pricing it proper … Ethereum sells essentially the most beneficial settlement layer in crypto at marginal price.”
Valente mentioned {that a} more healthy cut up could be 75% to Robinhood, 10% to Arbitrum, and 15% to Ethereum.
The Robinhood Chain is the cleanest case research of what occurred to ETH’s economics over time.
Since inception, @RobinhoodApp Chain has grossed ~$816K in income.@Arbitrum, the middleware supplier, takes 10%: ~$80K.
Arbitrum then pays Ethereum for settlement: $1,538.
The… pic.twitter.com/Jc8k4yi60M
— Lorenzo Valente (@LorenzoARK) July 13, 2026
Responding to the publish, Consensys founder Joe Lubin said Ethereum layer-1 income charges ought to keep low to foster progress.
“Tens of 1000’s of corporations will arrange store over the subsequent 2-3 years on some mixture of Ethereum L1, L2s, and personal permissioned EVMs.”
“Monetary premium will develop very giant, price income to L1 from a lot exercise,” he added earlier than concluding that staking and different locking away of ETH will scale back provide, and “internet burning of ETH below ultrasound circumstances will additional develop the worth of ETH.”
Since its launch a fortnight in the past, 82,895 ETH price round $147.5 million has been bridged to Robinhood Chain, in accordance with Defillama. Analysts say this has turn out to be one other demand sink, together with staking, which has 33% of the provision locked, treasury corporations, and ETFs.
No Love For ETH Prices
Despite this bullish narrative, Ether costs stay at multi-year bear market lows with low quantity and damaging sentiment. ETH is buying and selling flat on the day at round $1,780 following a dip to $1,750 throughout early Tuesday buying and selling in Asia.
It has moved off its cycle low of simply over $1,500 in late June, however has hit resistance at $1,800 six instances over the previous ten days. This stays the barrier to interrupt for ETH to proceed its gradual climb increased.
The main catalysts for Ether are macro and prone to be inflation coming down and decrease possibilities of a Fed price hike.
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