History Repeating? XRP Flashes Signal Last Seen Before Explosive 60,000% Rally
XRP is on observe to shut its fifth consecutive month in adverse territory, a uncommon stretch of sustained losses that has not been seen since late 2016. Despite holding at round $1.30, the token has declined practically 30% in February alone, in line with CoinGecko data, extending a broader five-month decline of roughly 50%.
XRP Flashes Pre-Bull Run Pattern
The final time XRP recorded 5 straight crimson month-to-month candles was between October 2016 and February 2017. During that interval, the value slipped from $0.00885 to $0.00557, a decline of 37%, earlier than discovering a backside close to $0.0055 in March 2017. By May 2017, XRP had surged to $0.3988 — a acquire of seven,000% in simply two months.
After consolidating by the summer time, the token climbed once more, finally reaching $3.31 in January 2018. From its March 2017 low, that marked a 60,000% improve.
With XRP now following the same path, market analyst Sam Daodu examined the comparability in a brand new report launched on Monday.
Daodu famous that the present setup “rhymes” with the 2016–2017 construction: 5 consecutive months of declines, tightening worth motion, and indicators that promoting stress could also be exhausting itself. However, he cautioned that the market surroundings has modified dramatically since XRP was “a micro‑cap token.
In 2017, XRP’s complete market worth was lower than $300 million. Daodu identified that at that degree, even a number of hundred million {dollars} in new capital may elevate the value by hundreds of proportion factors.
Today, XRP has a market capitalization of about $88 billion. According to the analyst, this scale makes a 60,000% surge just about not possible beneath any practical market circumstances.
250% Rally Still In Play
A comparable rally would suggest a transfer to roughly $852 per token. With roughly 58 billion XRP in circulation, that will translate to a market capitalization exceeding $49 trillion — greater than the mixed worth of all stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
Still, Daodu argues that whereas a repeat of the 2017 explosion is off the desk, a significant restoration stays inside attain if the bottoming sample holds.
A return to XRP’s July 2025 high of $3.65 would signify a acquire of about 157% from present ranges. A transfer towards $5 — close to the higher vary of analyst forecasts for 2026 — would quantity to a 252% improve.
Even extra conservative projections recommend room for upside. Standard Chartered just lately lowered its XRP goal by 65%, citing close to‑time period headwinds, however its revised forecast of $2.80 would nonetheless suggest a roughly 97% rise from present buying and selling costs.
The key distinction on this cycle, in line with Daodu, lies within the supply of demand. The explosive rally of 2017 was largely pushed by retail hypothesis.
In distinction, any substantial positive factors this time would seemingly depend upon institutional flows, together with potential exchange‑traded fund (ETF) inflows, broader institutional adoption, and a restoration throughout the broader crypto market.
While one other 60,000% run is unrealistic, Daodu believes a 150% to 250% advance is achievable if momentum shifts and capital returns to the sector.
Featured picture from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
