Is the Bitcoin Price at Risk of Falling Further? Market Faces Critical Test Below Bull Channel
Bitcoin’s worth has proven indicators of structural weak spot after breaking beneath its long-term bull market channel. The asset has since struggled to regain momentum, going through repeated rejections at key resistance ranges.
As the market enters the last stretch of 2025, questions stay about whether or not BTC can recuperate or if extra draw back is on the means.
BTC Trades Below Long-Term Bull Channel
Bitcoin has now spent six weeks beneath the bull market channel it had revered for practically two years. During this era, the worth made three makes an attempt to re-enter the construction. All of them have been rejected, with resistance now forming alongside the decrease boundary of the earlier development channel.
At current, BTC is consolidating just below this resistance space, suggesting {that a} fourth try to rejoin the channel could also be attainable. According to Titan of Crypto – a preferred analyst with 1000’s of followers on X, how the market reacts from right here may decide whether or not the current transfer was a short-term deviation, a retest from beneath, or the starting of an extended downward transfer.
It’s been 6 weeks since #BTC broke beneath its bull market channel.
Price tried 3 re-entries, all rejected.
A 4th try stays attainable.The actual query is how this break beneath the channel resolves:
– deviation
– retest from beneath
– or full reintegration pic.twitter.com/IeNYBqBSj0— Titan of Crypto (@Washigorira) December 22, 2025
Moreover, Crypto analyst Crypto Tice has pointed to similarities between Bitcoin’s 2025 worth motion and the topping sample seen in 2021. In each circumstances, the asset exhibited a rounded prime, adopted by a pointy decline, a subsequent bounce, after which ongoing stress.
“This bounce isn’t power by default,” said the analyst, noting that it’s traditionally the level the place “positioning adjustments arms.” He added that whereas a push towards the $100,000–$105,000 vary remains to be attainable, that stage has “by no means been about celebration” and will mark a turning level in sentiment.
In 2021, the same construction led to a deeper correction. The present help stage being examined was additionally current in that cycle, and a breakdown from it will definitely triggered a pointy transfer decrease.
Diverging Analyst Views on What Comes Next
Trader Tardigrade has pointed to a possible bearish pennant formation on the weekly chart, suggesting a attainable transfer towards $60,000. This construction, if confirmed, may prolong the ongoing bear market, which started in September.
Meanwhile, VanEck has reported a decline in Bitcoin’s community hashrate of round 4% as of mid-December. This drop in mining exercise has beforehand occurred close to market bottoms. Some see it as a attainable contrarian sign, although it stays unsure if this development will repeat.
Bitcoin is priced at round $87,100 at press time, down 2% in the final 24 hours however up 2% over the previous seven days. As reported by CryptoPotato, the fourth quarter of 2025 is set to close with a 22% decline, the weakest This autumn since the 2018 market cycle.
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