Is the Worst Over for Bitcoin? BTC Price Flashes Bullish Signal
TL;DR:
- Bitcoin’s RSI divergence reveals weakening draw back momentum, hinting at a possible shift towards potential restoration.
- Short-term holders offloaded 30.9K BTC to exchanges, taking realized losses price about $3.3 billion.
- Persistent unfavorable change netflows level to accumulation, decreasing provide obtainable for speedy promoting stress.
Bullish Divergence on the Chart
Bitcoin is displaying early indicators of a potential reversal after its newest decline. The worth has fallen from above $114,000 to round $111,500, making decrease lows. At the similar time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved larger, forming a bullish divergence on the 2-hour chart.
Analyst Merlijn The Trader commented:
$BTC JUST FLASHED A BULLISH DIVERGENCE.
Price made decrease lows. RSI made larger lows.
After the dump… momentum is shifting.
This is the place reversals are born. pic.twitter.com/kP6RGwZ4PQ
— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) September 23, 2025
Higher closes following the drop recommend momentum is beginning to transfer away from sellers.
At the second, Bitcoin is buying and selling close to $112,700 with a day by day quantity near $49 billion. It has slipped barely in the final 24 hours and is down 4% over the previous week. The speedy assist vary sits between $111,500 and $113,000.
Merlijn pointed to 2 potential outcomes.
“AFTER THE DUMP COMES OPPORTUNITY. $BTC simply gave us the setup legends wait for,” he mentioned.
In one situation, Bitcoin holds above assist and rebounds towards $124,000. In the different, the degree breaks, sending worth decrease into the $102,000–$104,000 vary earlier than staging a restoration towards $120,000.

Short-Term Holders Selling at a Loss
On-chain flows present heavy promoting stress from short-term holders. Analyst Ted famous:
$3,390,000,000 $BTC is moved to exchanges.
Greed
→ worry
→ selloff → accumulation → rally. https://t.co/jgwtRaEVFt pic.twitter.com/dqgzkU9O6C
— Ted (@TedPillows) September 23, 2025
Data signifies about 30.9K BTC was moved to exchanges inside 24 hours at a realized lack of roughly $3.39 billion.
This exercise displays capitulation from current consumers. In previous cycles, related loss-taking occasions at key ranges have aligned with native bottoms, as long-term holders soak up provide from weaker fingers.
Exchange Netflows Show Outflows
Exchange netflow information provides additional context. Over current weeks, giant outflows have dominated, with a number of days exceeding 20,000 BTC leaving exchanges. During the newest decline to $112,000, outflows spiked near 30,000 BTC.

Sustained withdrawals imply that buyers are placing cash into storage as an alternative of making ready to promote. Historically, persistent outflows amid worth weak point have been key marks of accumulation phases, lowering provide on exchanges and establishing restoration circumstances.
Bitcoin stays below stress by way of this section with potential proof of change. Bullish divergence, short-term capitulation, and constant outflows from exchanges could foster circumstances the place the worth can bounce again, offered assist holds.
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→ worry
→ selloff → accumulation → rally.