Kalshi Super Bowl Odds: Bad Bunny, Seahawks, MVP and Halftime Right Now

Prediction markets have taken in over $1 billion in Super Bowl quantity, with greater than $230 million buying and selling on the Kalshi game-winner contract alone. With kickoff at Levi’s Stadium in two hours, we’ve put collectively a snapshot of our tracked Super Bowl odds markets on Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Seahawks favored, however prediction markets see a tighter sport

Key prediction market odds (as of Feb. 8, 2026 at 5:20 EST):

• Moneyline: Seattle Seahawks -199 (Kalshi) / -207 (Polymarket) | New England Patriots +190 (Kalshi) / +207 (Polymarket)
• Spread: Seattle Seahawks -2.5 (-178) (Kalshi contract threshold)
• Cross-platform unfold: 3.9% on Patriots, 1.5% on Seahawks
• Traditional sportsbook line: SEA -4.5, O/U 45.5 by way of DraftKings

Seattle is buying and selling at 66–67 cents on Kalshi’s game-winner contract (-199) and 67.4–67.5 cents on Polymarket (-207). That’s tighter than the DraftKings sportsbook line, which has the Seahawks at -240 (4.5-point favorites). New England has moved up 2.1 p.c on the day throughout platforms.

Traditional sportsbooks have Seattle as a 4.5-point favourite, tied for the widest Super Bowl unfold in 15 years. Kalshi’s unfold contract at SEA -2.5 is just pricing a Seattle cowl at 64 p.c, suggesting prediction market bettors are much less satisfied the Seahawks run away with this than the Vegas consensus.

Sam Darnold is the MVP favourite

Kalshi’s MVP market has Darnold at 46 p.c (+117), with the contract having drawn $21.7 million in quantity. Drake Maye is buying and selling at roughly +240 on each platforms.

Quarterbacks on the successful staff take MVP about 70 p.c of the time. Maye was a full participant in all three practices this week after telling reporters on Thursday that his throwing shoulder had “turned a nook.” He carries no harm designation.

Darnold is equally clear after being restricted with an indirect harm because the divisional spherical.

The halftime present is drawing extra quantity than the MVP race

Bad Bunny’s halftime efficiency has generated $64.3 million in quantity on Kalshi’s first-song contract alone, in comparison with $21.7 million traded on MVP. Tití Me Preguntó is the main final result at 61 p.c (-156). The Puerto Rican artist, who received Album of the Year on the 2026 Grammys final week, beforehand appeared on the Super Bowl LIV halftime in 2020 alongside Jennifer Lopez and Shakira.

The visitor performer contract has Cardi B at 60.5 p.c (-153). Her attendance contract is individually buying and selling at 95.5 p.c on $1.8 million in quantity.

Timothée Chalamet is the most-traded title within the movie star attendance market at $13.7K in quantity, although the class general is likely one of the smaller Super Bowl swimming pools.

Advertiser contracts complete $46.1 million as data leaks loom

The “will this model promote through the Super Bowl” class has drawn $46.1 million in mixed quantity throughout Kalshi and Polymarket. Paramount+ is the main final result at 48 p.c (+108), whereas Temu sits at 46 p.c (+117).

These contracts are vulnerable to data asymmetry — advert company staff, media patrons, and community gross sales workers all have advance data of the industrial lineup. Prices can spike or collapse within the hours earlier than kickoff as data leaks into the market.

Mention markets: the class that didn’t exist a 12 months in the past

Announcer point out markets — binary contracts on whether or not particular phrases or phrases will likely be stated through the broadcast — have generated $3.4 million in Super Bowl quantity and $48 million throughout the total NFL season, a 715 p.c enhance from the class’s debut.

“What a Catch” is the closest coin flip at 51 p.c (+96). Patrick Mahomes stays the most-traded point out time period regardless of the Chiefs lacking the playoffs. Cris Collinsworth calls his sixth Super Bowl alongside Mike Tirico on NBC.

Kalshi lists 35 point out phrases for Super Bowl LX. Polymarket has 27.

Injury report: each groups principally wholesome

The remaining harm report cleared virtually everybody. Both Darnold (indirect) and Maye (shoulder) are full go. Seattle rookie security Nick Emmanwori, who sprained his ankle Wednesday, practiced absolutely Friday and has no sport designation. Head coach Mike Macdonald quipped: “Turns out, he’s alive.”

New England’s greatest query marks are linebacker Robert Spillane (ankle) and edge rusher Harold Landry (knee), each listed as questionable. Spillane, who exited the AFC Championship early, has advised reporters he plans to play. Landry missed the convention title sport fully.

The Patriots elevated operating again D’Ernest Johnson and defensive lineman Leonard Taylor III from the follow squad Saturday.

Game particulars

Seahawks vs. Patriots kicks off at 6:30 p.m. ET on NBC, Peacock, Telemundo, and Universo from Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Charlie Puth sings the nationwide anthem. Green Day opens the ceremony. Bad Bunny headlines halftime.

All prediction market costs are as of roughly 4:30 p.m. ET on Feb. 8, 2026. Prices replace repeatedly and could differ on the time of studying.

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