MSCI’s Move on MicroStrategy Is Rattling Bitcoin Markets | US Crypto News
Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your important rundown of an important developments in crypto for the day forward.
Grab a espresso, settle in, and brace your self, as a result of whereas MSCI’s cap on new MSTR shares has eliminated an vital automated shopping for mechanism, the market is much from solely constrained. Today’s US Crypto News highlights the continuing pressure between TradFi and the digital asset ecosystem.
Crypto News of the Day: Max Keiser Explains Why the MSCI MSTR Cap Isn’t What It Seems
Bitcoin’s muted response to MSCI’s latest index choice has sparked a debate amongst buyers, analysts, and crypto commentators over whether or not the market is structurally constrained or quietly manipulated.
The newest changes to MSCI’s treatment of crypto-heavy treasury companies, similar to MicroStrategy (MSTR), have eliminated a key supply of passive shopping for. Yet, distinguished voices like Max Keiser insist the affect could also be overstated.
MSCI will now not embrace newly issued shares from corporations similar to MSTR in its indexes. Previously, massive index funds have been routinely required to buy these shares, creating constant shopping for strain.
Under the brand new guidelines, that automated demand disappears, decreasing dilution-driven capital inflows and muting short-term market reactions.
However, Bitcoin pioneerMax Keiser dismissed the MSCI cap, declaring that pressured shopping for nonetheless happens when MSTR stock rises in tandem with Bitcoin.
“The cap by MSCI to exclude new MSTR shares in its weighting is a nothing burger. Forced shopping for continues to be triggered when Bitcoin-heavy MSTR inventory worth will increase,” Keiser assured.
While this implies that the reflexive upside just isn’t solely useless, the dampening impact on automated index-driven flows can’t be ignored.
Market Suppression Concerns
Against this backdrop, analysts warn that MSCI’s new guidelines freeze potential upside with out explicitly banning MSTR.
By limiting passive flows, the change slows the expansion of Bitcoin-backed company inventory and illustrates TradFi’s broader warning towards crypto adoption.
While this may occasionally delay Strategy’s S&P 500 inclusion this yr, it’s nonetheless anticipated to outperform the index, albeit towards resistance from entrenched monetary powers.
“I feel it’s clear that Strategy are going to need to win the exhausting method…I nonetheless anticipate it to outperform the S&P 500 this yr tremendously, however the powers that be won’t make it straightforward,” said analyst Zynx.
Despite these constraints, Strategy continues to display capital energy. Adam Livingston highlighted that MSTR not too long ago gained $3.7 billion in premium, leveraging SCALE and mNAV mechanics to effectively increase capital, improve Bitcoin per share, and strengthen greenback liquidity.
Even modest mNAV actions are enabling strategic progress, reflecting the corporate’s resilience.
MSCI Index Move Spurs Accusations of Bitcoin Market Manipulation by Institutions
Several commentators have painted the sequence of occasions as a coordinated Wall Street cycle. Quinten Francois, Ash Crypto, and The Crypto Room note that MSCI’s October threats, three months of suppressed costs, Morgan Stanley’s ETF filings, and the sudden MSCI reversal all align with a sample:
- Create concern
- Induce capitulation
- Accumulate cheaply, and
- Profit as soon as the overhang is eliminated.
They spotlight potential ties between MSCI (originally a Morgan Stanley division) and JP Morgan, suggesting collusion in spreading FUD and managing publicity.
Despite short-term constraints, long-term optimism stays sturdy. Tim Draper emphasizes 2026 as a breakout yr for Bitcoin adoption.
Institutional accumulation and mainstream adoption are anticipated to maintain eventual upside, at the same time as index mechanics average short-term flows.
Chart of the Day
Byte-Sized Alpha
Here’s a abstract of extra US crypto information to comply with as we speak:
- Bitcoin flash crash wipes out $128 million in long positions as worth briefly dips beneath $90,000.
- World Liberty Financial seeks OCC approval to launch a trust bank for a USD1 stablecoin.
- Trump’s Greenland ambition is already buying and selling on-chain.
- XRP eyes a 34% breakout as consumers step in — But not all demand looks healthy.
- MSTR sees dip buying amid MSCI reprieve — Can this ‘technique’ assist keep away from a 13% dip?
- Trump’s Greenland play might flip the US into the world’s Bitcoin capital.
- Why is BNB unlikely to see a deep decline in 2026?
Crypto Equities Pre-Market Overview
| Company | Close As of January 7 | Pre-Market Overview |
| Strategy (MSTR) | $161.83 | $160.36 (-0.91%) |
| Coinbase (COIN) | $245.93 | $247.55 (+0.66%) |
| Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) | $25.51 | $25.16 (-1.37%) |
| MARA Holdings (MARA) | $10.09 | $9.96 (-1.24%) |
| Riot Platforms (RIOT) | $15.27 | $15.08 (-1.24%) |
| Core Scientific (CORZ) | $16.24 | $16.14 (-0.62%) |
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