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Negative Sentiment Toward XRP Hits 6-Month Peak — History Says That’s Bullish

Negative sentiment towards XRP has reached its highest stage in six months, a pattern that on-chain knowledge platform Santiment believes might sign a value rally.

The agency’s evaluation reveals that retail traders are experiencing the best stage of worry, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) for the reason that US “tariff battle” in April. Historically, XRP value rebounds have typically occurred when market sentiment was at its most detrimental.

Retail FUD Spikes as XRP Slips in Rankings — A Contrarian Setup?

Santiment’s metric for detrimental mentions makes use of a machine-learning-based sentiment evaluation mannequin to judge textual content knowledge from sources like social media. The mannequin assigns a optimistic or detrimental rating to every piece of textual content (e.g., messages, feedback).

A detrimental point out is counted when a textual content has a detrimental sentiment rating of 0.7 or larger. The agency aggregates these scores to find out the overall quantity of detrimental mentions.

XRP Bullish vs. Bearish Commentary Across Social Media. Source: Santiment

According to Santiment’s knowledge, negative mentions of XRP outnumbered positive ones on two of the final three days. Santiment considers this a sign of “crowd fear,” representing the weakest sentiment the asset has seen within the final half-year.

Previous intervals of utmost detrimental sentiment have traditionally led to purchasing alternatives for institutional traders, which then drive value rebounds. The same surge in detrimental sentiment through the US tariff battle six months in the past was adopted by a powerful restoration for XRP after a quick correction.

The ratio of optimistic to detrimental mentions for XRP hit a psychological low of 0.74 on October 4. After a slight rebound, it fell once more to 0.86 on Monday. Santiment views these intervals of upper detrimental mentions as preferrred shopping for alternatives for XRP, stating that “markets transfer reverse to small dealer expectations.”

Conversely, intervals of high optimistic sentiment are thought-about a great time to promote. For instance, on September 17, optimistic mentions had been 3.21 instances larger than detrimental ones. In the eight days that adopted, XRP’s value fell by about 14.1%.

The weakening sentiment for XRP is not only mirrored in on-line posts but in addition in its market capitalization rating.

“XRP has fallen to #4 in market cap as BNB has surged. I don’t thoughts as this because the transfer has come from BNB’s latest power available in the market fairly than XRP weak point,” a crypto investor pointed out on X.

BNB climbed over 5% on Tuesday to a market cap of $180.91 billion, whereas XRP fell about 0.3% to a market cap of $178.89 billion.

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