NFL Prediction Market Volume Reaches $167.8M in Week Ending August 16
NFL prediction market quantity reached $167.8 million in the week ending August 16, up 324.4% from $39.5 million the week prior, in line with DeFi Rate knowledge.
Preseason recreation markets accounted for $143.5 million of that whole, or 85.5%, throughout Kalshi, Polymarket Global and Polymarket US.
The whole cumulative quantity on all NFL prediction markets now stands at $236.9 million, with the most recent week alone accounting for 71%. Set in opposition to every part else, NFL markets are nonetheless comparatively small.
| Venue | Total quantity | NFL quantity | NFL share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | $8,671,418,253 | $126,632,249 | 1.46% |
| Polymarket Global | $1,087,109,981 | $7,650,551 | 0.70% |
| Polymarket US | $819,929,432 | $33,546,837 | 4.09% |
| Total | $10,578,457,666 | $167,829,638 | 1.59% |
Futures markets grew whereas share share fell
Futures carried the market via July, holding 98.5% of tracked quantity in the week of July 6–12 and solely 30.4% 4 weeks later.
Preseason contracts overtook futures beginning with the Hall of Fame Game between the Carolina Panthers and Arizona Cardinals. That recreation traded $19.42 million on Kalshi throughout the reporting window, greater than some other preseason matchup.
Dallas Cowboys in opposition to the Seattle Seahawks is subsequent at $12.97 million, adopted by the Los Angeles Rams in opposition to the Kansas City Chiefs at $9.88 million.
Props reached $4.04 million, 113.5 instances the July 6–12 degree and up 50.1% week-over-week. Regular-season contracts reached $462,439, a 184.2% weekly acquire off a small base, whereas combos posted $261,826, all of it on Polymarket Global.
| Category | Jul 6-12 | Jul 13-19 | Jul 20-26 | Jul 27-Aug 2 | Aug 3-9 | Aug 10-16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason | $14.9K | $13.8K | $44.8K | $80.4K | $24.69M | $143.51M |
| Futures | $4.77M | $6.32M | $8.40M | $9.11M | $12.00M | $19.56M |
| Props | $35.6K | $51.4K | $225.7K | $270.1K | $2.69M | $4.04M |
| Regular Season | $19.0K | $41.0K | $51.6K | $62.6K | $162.7K | $462.4K |
| Combos | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $3,969 | $261.8K |
| Total | $4.84M | $6.43M | $8.72M | $9.53M | $39.55M | $167.83M |
Share of NFL quantity by class
| Category | Aug 10-16 | % of NFL quantity |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | $143.51M | 85.5% |
| Futures | $19.56M | 11.7% |
| Props | $4.04M | 2.4% |
| Regular Season | $462.4K | 0.3% |
| Combos | $261.8K | 0.2% |
Volume splits inconsistently throughout the venues
Kalshi’s grip in some merchandise was stronger than in others:
- 78.8% of preseason
- 81.4% of props
- 74.4% of regular-season contracts
- 50.6% of futures
Polymarket Global holds 8.2% of futures, its strongest place outdoors combos, the place it accounts for all tracked quantity.
Polymarket Global’s four-figure share acquire comes off a base of $493,607. The US platform grew 489.6% from a bigger $4,204,186 base, with official Daily Market Report recordsdata posted for each enterprise date via August 16.
| Venu | Preseason | WoW | % of preseason |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | $113.1M | +465.8% | 78.8% |
| Polymarket Global | $5.6M | +1,038.3% | 3.9% |
| Polymarket US | $24.8M | +489.6% | 17.3% |
| Tracked whole | $143.5M | +481.3% | 100.0% |
Monyeline dominates preseason quantity
| Market kind | Polymarket Global | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline (incl. interval winners) | $4.06M (62.6%) | $20.68M (68.4%) |
| Spreads | $1.10M (17.0%) | $4.53M (15.0%) |
| Totals | $1.06M (16.3%) | $3.79M (12.5%) |
| Other recreation props | $1,224 (<0.1%) | $1.22M (4.0%) |
| Pure-preseason combos | $265,783 (4.1%) | $0 (0.0%) |
| All preseason | $6.49M | $30.22M |
Kalshi and Polymarket Global figures cowl August 1–17, 2026, via 09:00 UTC. Polymarket US covers official enterprise dates via August 16. All three run forward of the weekly totals above, which cease at August 16.
The subsequent slate of video games opened this morning with early movement clustering round 4 video games. Volumes are at most five-figure, so the ordering issues greater than the degrees this far out.
- Las Vegas Raiders at Houston Texans (Aug. 20) – $13,720
- Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns (Aug 22) – $12,038
- San Francisco 49ers at San Diego Chargers (Aug 20) – $11,437
- New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers (Aug 21) – $11,165
Panthers–(*16*) Jaguars, Baltimore Ravens–Minnesota Vikings and Seattle Seahawks–Tennessee Titans are every below $2,200. Should that unfold maintain into the weekend, subsequent week’s preseason whole will sit on a slim set of matchups with an extended, skinny tail behind it. Combos are the class to observe after that.
The underlying dataset used in this text is available here with correct hyperlink attribution if used. All figures are topic to revision as further knowledge is ingested by DeFiRate.com.
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