Ripple Price Alert: Last Time This Happened, XRP Skyrocketed by 114%
Ripple’s cross-border token turned one of the vital risky property within the cryptocurrency house after the 2024 presidential elections within the US, going from $0.60 to over $3.60 inside lower than a 12 months, earlier than it crashed to $1.11 earlier this month.
Following this 70% decline from July 2025 to February 2026, the token has seen its “largest on-chain realized loss spike since 2022,” mentioned Santiment. However, this may very well be a blessing in disguise for token holders.
The analyst from the analytics firm noted that the final time such huge realized losses had been recorded, of -$1.93 billion, the underlying asset exploded by 114% within the following eight months. If such a spectacular value enhance is to repeat now, it will put XRP’s valuation at over $3.00.
“Significant realized losses occur when a lot of buyers promote their cash at a value decrease than what they initially paid. This normally coincides with concern taking on. When merchants panic and capitulate, they lock of their losses as an alternative of holding and hoping for a rebound,” defined the corporate.
However, the analysts added that whereas this would possibly really feel unfavourable within the short-term, it may be an necessary value sign for the longer run.
If the so-called weak palms have already bought, fewer sellers are left to push the asset decrease. Or, as Santiment put it: “a wave of heavy realized loss can imply that a lot of the harm has already been accomplished.”
Additionally, the evaluation reads that such massive will increase in realized losses happen close to market bottoms as a result of “excessive concern tends to peak earlier than value does.”
“Once sellers are exhausted, even a small quantity of recent shopping for strain can push costs greater. That doesn’t assure an instantaneous rally, however it will increase the likelihood of a bounce. “

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