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Ripple’s XRP Faces Key Test at $2.5: Will History Repeat?

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Ripple’s XRP is priced at $2.15 at press time, gaining over 12% within the final seven days. After beginning 2026 on a powerful notice, the main focus has shifted as to if it may reclaim the $2.5 degree. This value marks a key technical space that might outline the asset’s subsequent transfer.

$2.50 Level Marks a Historical Turning Point

The 50-week easy shifting common (SMA) has acted as a dependable development marker for XRP. In previous cycles — together with 2018, 2022, and 2024 — shedding this degree was adopted by a shift in market path. On October 10, 2025, XRP as soon as once more dropped beneath the 50-week SMA.

Currently, the worth of this shifting common is near $2.5, making it an space of curiosity for a lot of market contributors. Analyst Steph Is Crypto noted the significance of this zone. Until this degree is regained, merchants are cautious about additional draw back dangers.

“A weekly shut above $2.50 would open the door for the bull market to renew,” he acknowledged.

Furthermore, ChartNerdTA shared a longer-term comparability between the present setup and XRP’s 2016 construction. At that point, the token fashioned a double prime and dropped beneath assist earlier than starting a significant rally in 2017. That transfer was additionally accompanied by a reset of the Stochastic RSI, usually used to evaluate momentum.

According to the chart, XRP is displaying an analogous construction in 2025, together with a double prime and a latest momentum reset. “2026 could also be a landmark yr,” ChartNerdTA commented, referencing the repeating nature of the sample.

Market Cycle Suggests Next Stage of Move

CW presented a view based mostly on a repeating four-phase cycle. The chart marks XRP’s entry into Phase 4, which adopted a protracted interval of sideways motion. The mannequin locations the primary goal at the earlier all-time high, and a secondary goal at $21.5, based mostly on a 6.618 Fibonacci extension.

This similar cycle occurred between 2014 and 2017, when XRP moved by comparable phases earlier than rallying. The breakout above long-term resistance in early 2026 might counsel the sample is enjoying out once more.

Meanwhile, CryptoWZRD noted that XRP closed sturdy on each USD and BTC pairs. “Holding above $2.10 would supply additional upside,” he stated. XRP just lately broke above $2.12 on high quantity, with trade balances remaining low.

ETF demand and falling provide on exchanges might assist consumers if momentum holds. Nevertheless, the short-term indicators level to a lower, and merchants are carefully watching whether or not XRP can keep above the key assist ranges.

The submit Ripple’s XRP Faces Key Test at $2.5: Will History Repeat? appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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