Solana At Risk Of Breakdown After Key Rejection – Is $100 Next?
A yr after reaching its all-time high (ATH), Solana (SOL) is buying and selling 54.3% beneath its $293 2025 milestone, making an attempt to carry a vital zone as help. Some analysts warned that the altcoin might danger a deeper correction if the worth fails to get better the not too long ago misplaced floor.
Solana Breaks Below Key Support
On Sunday, Solana recorded an 8% pullback and hit a two-week low of $130. Since dropping the $200 phycological barrier in late October, the cryptocurrency has struggled to carry bullish momentum, hovering between the $115-$145 ranges over the previous three months.
The start-of-the-year rally noticed SOL get away of its multi-month downtrend, reclaim the higher zone of its native vary, and briefly breach above the important thing $145 resistance final week. However, Sunday’s market pullback has despatched Solana again beneath key areas.
Amid this efficiency, market observer BitGuru affirmed in an X evaluation that the cryptocurrency “simply swept liquidity into a powerful demand zone after a clear construction breakdown.”
He defined that the worth is making an attempt to rebound from its native help space, which might set off a “sharp reduction transfer towards earlier highs” if the worth can maintain the present ranges.
Meanwhile, analyst Man of Bitcoin famous that the altcoin’s value broke beneath its two-week ascending trendline, which had been supporting its 17% surge from its yearly opening. Moreover, it additionally dropped beneath the $136 mark, the place the worth had constantly bounced after the current breakout.
The market observer identified that Solana’s short-term help sits between the $129-$136 space, including {that a} breach and sustained breakdown from this space would spell hassle for the cryptocurrency.
According to the chart, if promoting stress persists and Solana fails to reclaim the not too long ago misplaced floor, the worth might see a state of affairs the place it retraces deeper and probably falls as much as 25% to problem the $100 space.
Analysts Warn Of Head And Shoulder Pattern
Other market watchers highlighted a macro sample on Solana’s chart, suggesting {that a} breakdown to new lows may very well be coming. Notably, the altcoin shows a two-year Head and Shoulders formation within the weekly timeframe.
According to the chart, this bearish pattern has been forming since 2024, with the left shoulder creating in the course of the Q1-Q2 2024 rally and the neckline sitting across the $120 space.
Meanwhile, the sample’s head fashioned throughout its late 2024 and early 2025 bullish run, which led to its ATH of $293 a yr in the past. Lastly, the best shoulder developed after the Q3 2025 rally and This autumn correction.
Based on this efficiency, dealer Slashology affirmed that Solana is “actually wanting dangerous right here,” warning that buyers ought to “put together for the worst” as the worth trades close to the sample’s neckline.
He forecasted {that a} breakdown from this key stage might result in a 35%-40% “massacre” towards the $75-$80 ranges. On the opposite, market observer Crypto Curb suggested a unique end result may very well be attainable.
In an X put up, he in contrast SOL’s current efficiency to the S&P 500 (SPX) value motion between 2009 and 2011. Per the put up, SPX displayed the identical sample as Solana, however in the end invalidated the sample after bouncing from the neckline and breaking above the best shoulder’s peak, finally reaching new highs.
To the analyst, the altcoin might show the same efficiency if it rebounds from the present ranges and begins to climb increased.
As of this writing, Solana is buying and selling at $134, a 5.6% decline within the every day timeframe.