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Solana Set to Break 4-Year September Win Streak as Network Activity Slumps

Solana seems poised to shut this month within the purple, diverging from a four-year streak of traditionally constructive September performances. 

A broader dip in market sentiment, with key on-chain metrics pointing to declining community exercise, may push SOL’s worth decrease as the month nears its finish.

SOL Network Activity Declines, Market Sentiment Turns Negative

Over the previous 4 years, September has constantly delivered features for SOL. In 2021, SOL surged by 29%, adopted by a extra modest however regular 5.38% rise in 2022. The momentum strengthened in 2023, when the token climbed 8.22%, and continued in 2024 with a stable 12.5% improve. 

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However, this 12 months seems completely different, as SOL seems to be poised to shut September at a low, breaking its successful streak.

Solana Historical Monthly Returns. Source: CryptoRank

Despite beginning the month strongly, SOL peaked at $253.51 on September 18 however has since fallen roughly 17%, reflecting growing bearish pressure.

This drop is partly attributed to the waning bullish sentiment available in the market and primarily due to the weakening person engagement on the Solana community. 

According to Artemis, the whole variety of every day lively addresses interacting with Solana-based protocols has totaled 3.04 million month-to-date, declining by 25%.

Solana Daily Active Addresses. Source: Artemis

Daily lively addresses signify the variety of distinctive wallets actively sending, receiving, or interacting with on-chain functions. When it falls, it alerts weakening person engagement and decrease community exercise, which might cut back general demand for the coin.

On the technical aspect, SOL’s plummeting Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the every day chart confirms the falling demand. At press time, this momentum indicator is at 40.54.

Solana RSI. Source: TradingView

The RSI measures an asset’s overbought and oversold circumstances, with readings above 70 suggesting overbought circumstances and beneath 30 indicating oversold circumstances.

At 40.54, SOL’s RSI is in bearish territory, indicating that promoting strain is outweighing shopping for momentum. While a capitulation part will not be imminent, downward momentum may persist if bearish sentiment continues. 

SOL Poised for Red September Close

If the downward pattern continues, SOL could shut September beneath its latest highs. In this state of affairs, its worth may fall towards $195.55. If this help fails to maintain, the coin’s worth may dip additional to $171.88.

Solana Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, a sudden surge in community exercise or a reversal in broader market sentiment may mitigate losses and stabilize the worth. With such a catalyst, SOL could rally toward $219.21.

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