Top Firm Predicts No Surge For XRP Despite Anticipated October Spot ETF Approval
As the altcoin market experiences a resurgence, XRP has struggled to realize momentum, consolidating between $2.70 and $3 for the previous two weeks.
Despite the thrill surrounding potential exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that would put money into the altcoin if accredited, The Motley Fool has cautioned that the present market correction could persist longer than many anticipate.
Warns Of Prolonged Downtrend
In a current evaluation, the agency attributed a few of XRP’s lackluster efficiency to a common malaise within the cryptocurrency market, the place merchants are ready for Bitcoin (BTC), the market’s main cryptocurrency, to guide a brand new worth rally.
However, two important components counsel that XRP could face a extra extended downtrend than beforehand anticipated. The anticipated launch of latest spot crypto ETFs has been a focus of dialogue for the reason that starting of the yr.
Several asset managers have submitted purposes to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to create spot XRP ETFs, with Bloomberg estimating a 95% approval chance and on-line prediction markets estimating 94%.
While approval appears seemingly, the actual query revolves across the demand for these ETFs. XRP, at the moment the world’s third-largest cryptocurrency, undoubtedly has some degree of institutional curiosity, but the precise inflows inform a unique story.
Data signifies that solely $1.25 billion flowed into XRP from institutional buyers throughout the first eight months of 2025. JPMorgan Chase has projected that the upcoming ETFs might entice between $4 billion and $8 billion into XRP.
However, the agency asserts that even the decrease finish of this estimate won’t considerably affect XRP’s worth motion over the long-term, given its present market capitalization of $180 billion.
Recovery For XRP May Not Occur Until 2026
While there’s appreciable optimism amongst analysts concerning XRP’s future, with some worth predictions suggesting it might attain new record prices of as much as $4, $5, and even $10, the corporations famous that these projections don’t account for the dangers of short-term worth declines.
According to crypto betting platform, Polymarket, there’s a 32% probability of XRP dropping to $2.50 this yr, a 30% probability it might fall to $2.40, and a 27% probability of plummeting to $2.
These statistics point out that XRP might proceed to float decrease over the following few months earlier than any significant restoration takes place, doubtlessly not occurring till 2026.
Ultimately, The Motley Fool evaluation means that any upward motion for XRP is more likely to rely upon Bitcoin’s performance. If Bitcoin fails to reclaim its earlier peak by the top of the yr, it will likely be difficult for XRP to provoke its personal rally.
As of this writing, the XRP worth has recovered the $3.0675 mark, representing a 1.5% surge inside the final 24 hours. This pales compared to Ethereum’s (ETH) 5% features inside the similar timeframe.
Featured picture from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
