US Economic Data Shows Healthy Q2 Growth, So Why Aren’t Markets Rallying?
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) posted a glowing GDP report in the present day, exhibiting 3.8% development in Q2 regardless of a brutal Q1. Despite this, crypto and TradFi markets alike have constantly fallen.
Although high-profile economists and analysts are treating these figures severely, there may be rising skepticism in regards to the information’s authenticity. This development may make markets much more chaotic and unpredictable.
Bullish US Economic Reports
There are plenty of bearish fears within the US financial system: the last few main economic assessments have been unfavorable, and the Federal Reserve recently cut interest rates after months of hesitancy.
Today, nevertheless, two new experiences got here out, indicating a constructive path for the US.
The Labor Department’s newest unemployment findings recommend that US jobless claims have fallen within the final week. More importantly, the BEA launched its report on the US GDP in Q2 2025.
It described a 3.8% rise in GDP development, a shocking turnaround from the shrinkage in Q1.
This looks like an especially bullish report for the US financial system, however traders apparently haven’t seen it that approach. So far, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 have posted minor downturns in the present day.
The crypto market has fared even worse, with nearly the entire main tokens declining in the previous few hours.
What may clarify this phenomenon? Unfortunately, there’s a really disturbing chance. As Harvard economists and Bloomberg analysts alike mentioned this bullish US financial information, their followers had a near-unanimous response: these experiences are pretend.
The commentators themselves didn’t handle these issues, however the avenue’s response was intense.
The official definition of an financial recession is 2 consecutive quarters of unfavorable GDP development. In different phrases, if the BEA reported that the US financial system shrank in Q2 2025, it will formally announce a recession.
President Trump just lately fired one other Bureau chief for posting unfavorable information, and this will likely have had a chilling impact.
Savvy crypto merchants have already begun disregarding US financial experiences produced below the Trump administration. This might assist clarify why token markets are declining.
Granted, crypto is supposed to be a safe haven throughout recessions, so this information isn’t reassuring both, however there’s at the very least a coherent narrative.
However, if each the Nasdaq and S&P 500 are declining too, this will likely recommend that TradFi markets are additionally rising skeptical. To be clear, neither of those indices plummeted; each posted losses of lower than 1%.
Nonetheless, any downturn is very regarding if it takes place after such constructive financial information.
Moving ahead, this US GDP report may sign a chaotic new interval within the markets. For good or in poor health, these surveys sometimes affect traders, however in the present day’s impression is virtually unintelligible.
If crypto and TradFi establishments alike start disregarding this information altogether, it’ll be that rather more tough to foretell sound funding selections.
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