Why The 2025 Close Below $100,000 Is Terrible For The Bitcoin Price
The Bitcoin value went by the ultimate days of 2025 trying to push above $90,000 after weeks of draw back value motion, however it ultimately failed to defend this stage into the yearly shut. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is buying and selling at $88,750, that means it closed the yr 2025 under $100,000.
This value motion has added strain to sentiment, and higher-timeframe indicators are pointing to rising exhaustion. According to a 3-month candlestick evaluation shared on X by analyst Greeny, the best way Bitcoin closed 2025 might carry deeper implications than most traders currently understand.
3-Month Bearish Engulfing Points To Weakness
Technical analysis of Bitcoin’s value motion on the 3-month candlestick timeframe exhibits the cryptocurrency simply printed a big bearish engulfing candle that absolutely overtook the prior quarterly advance. This kind of candle is uncommon on such a high timeframe and usually factors to a decisive shift in management from patrons to sellers.
The chart shared by Greeny exhibits that this engulfing construction fashioned after Bitcoin failed to carry above its 2025 highs above $120,000 in October, and this exhibits that the year ended in distribution.
Interestingly, $106,700 is now an necessary stage shifting ahead as a result of it corresponds with the underside of the earlier 3-month candle. With Bitcoin now buying and selling under that zone, it flips from help right into a heavy resistance space for value motion in Q1. Any restoration try in early 2026 would want to reclaim this stage convincingly to avoid further rejection.
Furthermore, the stochastic stage close to $108,000 is one other necessary stage to have a look at for Bitcoin’s value motion in Q1 2026. According to Greeny, if the Bitcoin value closes under this zone after the primary quarter, it could point out continued draw back strain. Together, these ranges type a decent ceiling overhead, that means even robust aid rallies might wrestle to transition into sustainable uptrends as we transfer into the brand new yr.
Bitcoin 3-month Candlestick Price Chart: @greenytrades on X
Stochastic Exhaustion Points To A Possible Cycle Peak
Another regarding factor of Greeny’s evaluation facilities on the stochastic indicator. According to the analyst, that is the primary time in Bitcoin’s historical past that the stochastic has reached the eightieth percentile on the 3-month timeframe. This is in any other case notable as a result of this can be a zone typically related to exhaustion and a neighborhood or bull cycle high.
The chart additionally exhibits the crimson shifting common crossing above the blue whereas sitting properly under the stochastic band, a configuration Greeny interprets as affirmation of a neighborhood high. This setup is probably going pointing to the top of the present bull cycle and can solely be invalidated if Bitcoin manages to shut above $108,000 by the top of March.
Liquidity circumstances throughout all the crypto market tightened by late 2025 because the Central Bank of Japan maintained larger rates of interest. This has led to Bitcoin underperforming in comparison with different notable property, while precious metals such as gold and silver pushed to new value highs.
