Will Bitcoin Price Reclaim $100,000 in January? 3 Charts Hold the Answer
Bitcoin began 2026 caught close to $88,000, extending weeks of sideways buying and selling. While worth motion appears to be like stagnant, on-chain knowledge suggests the market could also be quietly shifting beneath the floor.
Three indicators from CryptoQuant level to easing promote stress, at the same time as macro uncertainty continues to cap upside momentum.
Long-Term Holders Show Signs of Accumulation
Bitcoin’s price has struggled to reclaim key resistance after a pointy pullback in late 2025. The lack of follow-through shopping for has saved sentiment fragile, with merchants ready for affirmation that the correction has run its course.
The first sign comes from long-term holder (LTH) provide knowledge. After months of detrimental readings, the 30-day internet change in LTH provide has turned optimistic by roughly 10,700 BTC.
This shift means that long-term buyers are now not distributing cash at scale.
Instead, (*3*) into stronger palms, a sample typically seen throughout consolidation phases somewhat than market tops.
LTH SOPR Signals Balance, not Capitulation
A second chart tracks the long-term holder spent output revenue ratio (SOPR). This metric exhibits whether or not long-term holders are promoting at a revenue or a loss.
Currently, LTH SOPR is hovering round the impartial 1.0 degree. That signifies long-term holders should not capitulating or speeding to exit at losses.
Historically, this habits aligns with markets finding equilibrium after a correction, somewhat than getting into a deeper breakdown.
Exchange outflows cut back instant promote stress
The third indicator appears to be like at Bitcoin trade netflows. Recent knowledge exhibits continued internet outflows, with extra BTC leaving exchanges than getting into them.
This development reduces instant sell-side provide on spot markets.
However, the lack of a worth rebound suggests demand stays cautious, seemingly constrained by tighter liquidity and delayed expectations for US rate cuts.
Will Bitcoin Price Recover in January?
Taken collectively, the charts paint a combined however enhancing image. Supply-side stress seems to be easing, and long-term holders stay assured.
Still, worth stays range-bound as a result of weak demand and macro headwinds. A speedy transfer to $100,000 in January would seemingly require a contemporary catalyst.
Without it, Bitcoin might proceed consolidating, constructing a base that might help a stronger restoration later in 2026 somewhat than a right away breakout.
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