World Cup Odds This Week: Polymarket and Kalshi Prices for Every Match

Kalshi has generated greater than $200 million in World Cup buying and selling quantity as of this morning, with prediction markets pricing each match throughout moneylines, spreads, and props. The 2026 World Cup continues with 28 video games scheduled over the following seven days.

Four matches headline right now’s slate, together with the Netherlands towards Japan. France, Spain, and England play subsequent week. Below is how Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the most important video games.

Today’s match ups: Prediction websites count on a heavy win for Germany

Prediction markets give Germany a 94% likelihood of beating Curaçao when the groups conflict in Houston this afternoon. The sport will get underway at 1 p.m. ET, and it guarantees to be a lopsided affair.

Germany is among the world’s strongest groups, that includes elite gamers like Manuel Neuer, Joshua Kimmich, and Jamal Musiala. Curaçao is the smallest country to ever qualify for the World Cup, and the island’s whole inhabitants is equal to a small Berlin suburb.

Polymarket merchants give Germany a 48% likelihood of masking a 3.5-goal unfold, whereas Curaçao +3.5 is priced at 53%.

The Netherlands will then tackle Japan in Dallas at 4 p.m. ET. This guarantees to be a extra aggressive match, however the Dutch are priced at 48% with Polymarket and 49% with Kalshi to win the sport.

Japan is missing star player Kaoru Mitoma, so it may wrestle to interrupt down an elite Dutch protection led by Virgil van Dijk. If you suppose Japan can pull off an upset, it’s priced at 26% with each Kalshi and Polymarket. Around $2.3 million has been traded on this sport throughout each websites.

Prediction markets anticipate wins for Ecuador and Sweden

Ivory Coast will then face Ecuador at 7 p.m. ET in Philadelphia. These groups are in the identical World Cup group as Germany. They may find yourself combating for second place, so it’s a vital match.

Prediction websites make Ecuador the favourite, priced at 41%, with a draw (tie) priced at 34% and Ivory Coast priced at 27%. Ecuador completed second within the South American World Cup qualifying group, forward of robust groups like Brazil and Colombia.

La Tri solely conceded 5 targets in 18 qualifying video games, with PSG’s Willian Pacho and Arsenal’s Piero Hincapié main a rock-solid protection. It’s straightforward to see why Ecuador is the favourite, however Ivory Coast recently beat France – the outright World Cup favourite – in a pleasant, so the Elephants can be aggressive on this sport.

The closing match on Sunday sees Sweden tackle Tunisia at 10 p.m. ET in Monterrey. Tunisia is robust in protection, however Sweden has good forwards like Viktor Gyökeres and Alexander Isak, so it’s the favourite to win this sport.

Sweden is priced at 51% with Polymarket and 52% with Kalshi to safe victory. The draw is buying and selling at 28%, and Tunisia is priced at 22%. Polymarket has priced each groups to attain at 48%. That has landed in Sweden’s final six video games, so it appears to be like like an interesting choice.

Monday World Cup odds: Spain is priced for a heavy win

Spain, the reigning European champion, takes on Cape Verde at 12 p.m. ET on Monday. This appears to be like like one other mismatch, as prediction websites give Spain a 91% likelihood of successful.

La Roja is on a 34-game unbeaten streak, which incorporates wins towards England, France, and Germany. Cape Verde has by no means beforehand certified for the World Cup, and there’s an enormous gulf in high quality between these groups. Kalshi merchants give Spain a 51% likelihood of masking a 2.5-goal unfold. La Roja ought to be able to masking that if star participant Lamine Yamal is firing on all cylinders after recovering from an damage.

Prediction markets additionally count on Belgium to beat Egypt, Uruguay to beat Saudi Arabia, and Iran to beat New Zealand on Monday.

Tuesday World Cup odds: France backed to beat Senegal

World Cup favourite France begins its marketing campaign with a tough sport towards Senegal in New Jersey on Tuesday. Prediction markets give France a 67% likelihood of successful the match, with a draw buying and selling at 22% and Senegal priced at 13%.

Les Bleus have a star-studded squad, that includes elite forwards Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, and Michael Olise. They additionally look robust in protection and midfield, so it’s straightforward to see why they’re buying and selling at 17.2% with Kalshi to raise the trophy.

However, they’ll face a stern take a look at of their mettle towards Senegal. The Lions of Teranga beat Morocco within the Africa Cup of Nations closing earlier this yr, solely to be controversially stripped of the title the next month. They have fast, harmful forwards like Sadio Mané of their ranks, so it ought to be an entertaining sport. Both groups to attain is buying and selling at 46% on Polymarket.

Traders additionally give Norway an 83% likelihood of beating Iraq on Tuesday. Argentina, the reigning world champion, is priced at 71% with Kalshi to beat Algeria. The Algerians are on a four-game unbeaten streak, but it surely’s arduous to see them conserving Lionel Messi, Julián Álvarez, and Lautaro Martínez at bay for 90 minutes. The closing sport of the day sees Austria tackle Jordan. Austria is priced at 73% with Polymarket to safe victory.

Wednesday World Cup odds: Traders count on wins for Portugal and England

European heavyweights Portugal and England will get their World Cup campaigns underway on Wednesday. Portugal takes on DR Congo at 1 p.m. ET, and Kalshi has priced a Portuguese win at 77%. The Portugal midfield is stacked with world-class gamers like Bruno Fernandes and Vitinha, whereas Cristiano Ronaldo continues to be prolific in assault, so it ought to win that one.

England will then lock horns with Croatia at 4 p.m. ET in Dallas. It can be a repeat of the 2018 World Cup semifinal, which Croatia received 2-1. However, Croatia’s greatest gamers have both retired or regressed since then, so England is buying and selling at 57% with Kalshi to win this match.

Ghana has been given a 43% likelihood of beating Panama within the subsequent sport on Wednesday, however the Black Stars can be lacking star midfielder Thomas Partey. He was denied entry to Canada for this event. Finally, Colombia has a 71% likelihood of beating Uzbekistan, based on Polymarket merchants.

Thursday World Cup odds: Host nations again in motion

Canada may solely draw 1-1 with Bosnia and Herzegovina within the World Cup opener, however it’s anticipated to return to successful methods on Thursday. Prediction websites give the CanMNT a 77% likelihood of beating Qatar when the groups conflict at BC Place in Vancouver. Qatar earned a 1-1 draw with Switzerland on the weekend, however prediction markets count on it to wrestle towards Canada.

Mexico can be in motion on Thursday. El Tri cruised to a 2-0 win towards South Africa within the opening sport of the event. Kalshi merchants give Mexico a 51% likelihood of beating South Korea, which battled to a 2-1 victory over Czechia in its opener.

Elsewhere, Czechia is priced at 56% to beat South Africa on Thursday, whereas Switzerland has a 62% likelihood of beating Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Friday World Cup odds: USA backed to beat Australia

The USMNT thrashed Paraguay 4-1 in its first sport of the event. Folarin Balogun scored twice, Gio Reyna curled in an outrageous trivela, and Christian Pulisic and Weston McKennie seemed energetic all through the sport. Polymarket provides the USA a 62% likelihood of beating Australia in Seattle on Friday, whereas Kalshi has priced a USA win at 63%. Australia seemed harmful on the counterattack in its shock 2-0 win towards Türkiye on Saturday.

There are three extra video games on Friday: Scotland vs. Morocco, Brazil vs. Haiti, and Türkiye vs. Paraguay. Prediction markets count on wins for Morocco, Brazil, and Türkiye.

Saturday World Cup odds: Four extra video games on the slate

The Netherlands will tackle Sweden on Saturday, adopted by Germany vs. Ivory Coast in Toronto. Ecuador will then play towards Curaçao, earlier than Tunisia takes on Japan. Prediction markets are at present anticipating wins for the Netherlands, Germany, Ecuador, and Japan, however that would all change by Saturday.

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