XRP Flashes Rare On-Chain Signal That Once Preceded 114% Gains
XRP on-chain ache has drawn contemporary consideration this week. Realized losses surged to almost $2 billion over a one-week span. That form of transfer grabs merchants’ eyes as a result of it usually marks a clearing out of weaker holders.
Santiment Shows Heavy Realized Losses
According to Santiment, the spike is the largest since 2022. Realized losses occur when individuals promote for lower than what they paid. It is a measure of capitulation. In previous cycles, comparable spikes occurred close to main lows and had been adopted by sturdy rallies.
BREAKING: XRP has seen its largest on-chain realized loss spike since 2022. When the earlier weekly milestone of -1.93B in realized losses occurred 39 months in the past, $XRP proceeded to leap +114% over the subsequent 8 months.
Significant realized losses occur when a big quantity… pic.twitter.com/gPUU8fYfiY
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) February 21, 2026
One historic episode that merchants level to noticed an enormous loss week earlier than a 114% climb over roughly eight months. Still, that end result got here from a selected set of market circumstances that aren’t assured to reappear.
When Many Small Holders Leave
The current spike in realized losses has drawn consideration from market individuals. When traders promote at a loss, the metric rises, reflecting the dimensions of cash altering arms beneath their buy value. Analysts usually monitor this knowledge to evaluate shifts in provide and demand.
Realized revenue and loss figures are generally used to trace market conduct during times of sharp value motion. While the information highlights the extent of losses being locked in, value course sometimes will depend on broader buying and selling exercise, liquidity circumstances, and total market tendencies.
Price Moves And Market Tone
XRP traded close to $1.45 on the time of those reviews, up about 1.50% over 24 hours however down roughly 24% for the month. The token moved largely consistent with Bitcoin throughout a broader market bounce.
Short-term energy like that may be a begin. It will also be a quick reprieve inside an extended correction. Traders watching the charts need to see extra quantity and clear ranges taken earlier than calling a pattern change.
My #XRP value targets for the subsequent three months:
March $13
April $27
May $70— CryptoBull (@CryptoBull2020) February 21, 2026
Why Some Forecasts Stretch Reality
Analyst targets working into double and triple digits have circulated on-line. CryptoBull’s requires $13, $27, and $70 in a matter of months are excessive and would require dramatic new capital flows.
Market cap math exhibits these strikes want far bigger demand than informal optimism gives. Other analysts used prior cycle lows to estimate a potential macro flooring between $0.75 and $0.85 by making use of a roughly 2.8x a number of.
A Good Signal
Taken collectively, the information has revived dialogue round a uncommon on-chain sign that previously got here earlier than a 114% advance.
Santiment’s newest figures present realized losses reaching ranges not seen since 2022, inserting the metric again in focus for merchants monitoring cycle conduct.
Whether historical past repeats will depend upon incoming demand, broader crypto sentiment, and sustained shopping for strain within the weeks forward. For now, the sign has flashed once more, and the market is watching to see what follows.
Featured picture from Pexels, chart from TradingView

BREAKING: XRP has seen its largest on-chain realized loss spike since 2022. When the earlier weekly milestone of -1.93B in realized losses occurred 39 months in the past,
Significant realized losses occur when a big quantity…