XRP Price Retests Decade-Old Trendline That Previously Triggered 630%+ Rallies
The XRP worth returned to a technical stage that, traditionally, has outlined a few of its most explosive rallies. After enduring a pointy 62% correction that culminated in a drop towards $1.10 on February 6, the token is as soon as once more testing its long-term ascending assist trendline.
Amid this, the broader crypto market has proven indicators of restoration this week, providing some reduction. On Wednesday, the XRP worth rebounded roughly 6%, whereas Bitcoin (BTC) climbed again above the important $70,000 stage, restoring a measure of optimism throughout danger belongings regardless of ongoing world tensions.
Historic XRP Price Support
In a Wednesday report, market analyst Sam Daodu identified that the XRP worth is sitting on the identical rising trendline that has traditionally preceded dramatic upside strikes — together with a 630% rally in 2024 and a rare surge of greater than 60,000% in 2017.
What makes this retest completely different, Daodu famous, is that it’s taking place for the primary time with a completely established spot XRP Exchange-traded fund (ETF) infrastructure behind it.
Since their launch in November 2025, US spot XRP exchange-traded funds have attracted $1.24 billion in cumulative inflows over 4 consecutive optimistic months. Approximately 797 million XRP at the moment are held in ETF custody.
At the identical time, institutional wallets amassed a further 170 million XRP throughout the newest worth dip. Ripple additionally re-locked 700 million XRP into escrow on March 1, sustaining its customary launch cycle and limiting new supply from getting into the market.
March seasonality provides one other layer to the setup. Over the previous 12 years, XRP has delivered a median return of 18% in March, making it statistically the strongest month of the primary quarter.
$4 Target Emerges
From a technical standpoint, the $1.27 stage represents the primary space of assist to watch. It aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and has served as a bear market flooring all through the correction.
Below that, the $1.10–$1.11 zone marks the exact location of the long-term ascending trendline that held in February. A decisive break beneath $1.10 would symbolize the primary failure of this channel since 2015 and will expose the XRP worth to a deeper pullback towards $0.85–$1.00.
On the upside, $1.47 stands as the closest Fibonacci resistance, adopted intently by the $1.50 neckline of the double bottom. A sustained shut above $1.50 would verify the sample and venture a transfer towards $1.68–$1.70.
Beyond that vary, on-chain knowledge exhibits roughly 1.85 billion XRP amassed between $1.76 and $1.80, a zone the place holders could look to exit at breakeven, probably creating substantial resistance.
The most important provide cluster lies between $2.40 and $2.60; a weekly shut above that band would invalidate the broader descending construction and sign a extra decisive pattern reversal.
Combining historic March energy, capitulation alerts, and structural provide constraints, Daodu suggests the XRP worth may probably attain a variety between $2.50 and $4.00 by late 2026.
Featured picture from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com