XRP Rallies Toward $1.50—Expert Cites 3 Dates That Could Decide The Next Direction
XRP has adopted the broader rebound in crypto markets as geopolitical situations look like easing. With the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the chance—nevertheless unsure—of progress towards an finish to the Iran–US battle, danger urge for food has improved.
In that atmosphere, XRP has surged and briefly pushed towards the $1.51 degree on Friday for the primary time in virtually a month, alongside a set of catalysts that might decide whether or not the rally features actual momentum—or shortly unwinds.
The Timeline That Could Make Or Break XRP
In his newest report, market skilled Sam Daodu factors out that whereas the near-term outlook for XRP seems promising, it hinges on three dates developing within the subsequent two weeks.
The first issue is tied to the macro story itself: a doable extension of the Iran–US ceasefire. The closest deadline is April 22, when the Iran ceasefire is about to run out.
Daodu hyperlinks the timing of this expiry on to market danger, arguing that if tensions return and the battle resumes, the broader crypto market would most likely fall once more—dragging XRP down with it.
The second main date is tied to US regulation, and it’s arguably the larger one for XRP’s longer-term restoration: the CLARITY Act markup that the Senate Banking Committee is focusing on for late April.
If the CLARITY Act is delayed past May, he suggests the invoice would probably be shelved till 2027. In that situation, the skilled asserts XRP would lose its largest remaining catalyst for 2026.
The third key date is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assembly on April 28–29. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is broadly anticipated to carry rates of interest at 3.50%–3.75%.
Daodu argues that, by itself, the assembly could not transfer XRP a lot. The greater challenge is what occurs if geopolitical risk and regulatory momentum each disappoint on the similar time.
If the Iran ceasefire collapses and the CLARITY Act stalls, a hawkish shock from the Fed would probably worsen situations. In different phrases, it isn’t simply every occasion standing alone; it’s the interplay between them that might form the subsequent section of the market.
Potential Outcomes For The Next Two Weeks
Against that backdrop, Daodu provides three value eventualities for XRP, framing them round what occurs with the ceasefire, the CLARITY Act, and the broader market over roughly the subsequent two weeks.
In his bullish case, XRP may transfer into a spread of $1.50 to $1.90. That would rely on the Senate Banking Committee scheduling the CLARITY Act markup earlier than the tip of April and on the (*3*)being prolonged past April 22.
Daodu believes XRP may purpose for the 200-day shifting common close to $1.90 by May. Still, he cautions that reaching that time would require sustained ETF inflows and continued energy in Bitcoin (BTC).
In a base-case outlook, Daodu forecasts XRP buying and selling between $1.35 and $1.50. This situation assumes the ceasefire extends previous April 22, however the CLARITY Act markup is pushed to May.
In the bearish situation, Daodu sees the altcoin probably falling into a spread of $1.15 to $1.30. This can be triggered if the warfare resumes after April 22 and oil prices spike above $100 once more, which might probably stress all the crypto market.
In that case, Daodu says a transfer again beneath $1.30 turns into extra probably. If Bitcoin additionally breaks down beneath $70,000 on the similar time, XRP may retest the $1.15 help space.
At the time of writing, the altcoin is buying and selling at round $1.49, nonetheless recording main features of 10% and 13% over the seven- and fourteen-day intervals, respectively.
Featured picture from OpenArtwork, chart from TradingView.com
