Kalshi has already surpassed $7.49 billion in notional quantity for the week of June 15, surpassing its prior report of $6.38B with Sunday’s session nonetheless open. The partial complete runs 17.5% above the earlier report by way of simply six closed days, placing Kalshi on observe for its first $8B-plus week — a possible $8.5B…
The ultimate March numbers are in, they usually verify what the mid-month trajectory instructed: March 2026 was the most important month on report for U.S. prediction markets. Kalshi closed at $13.07 billion in notional quantity and 88.4 million transactions, up 25% month-over-month on each metrics. Polymarket completed at $10.57 billion (+33% MoM) and 115.4 million…
Kalshi has already posted $12.35 billion in notional quantity in March 2026, surpassing its earlier all-time high of $10.44 billion set throughout Super Bowl month in February. It’s an 18.3% month-over-month leap with two days of quantity nonetheless to gather for March. Meanwhile, Polymarket’s international platform has exceeded $10 billion in month-to-month quantity for the…
Across 5 NCAA Tournament video games, the pricing hole between the most effective and worst prediction market platforms was bigger than the hole between prediction markets and conventional sportsbooks. House take, the margin platforms construct in by pricing each side above true chance, ranged from 1.3% to eight.2% in our dataset. The increased the share,…
The numbers prediction market watchers had been anticipating since Selection Sunday lastly arrived final week. Prediction market business notional quantity hit $6.41 billion for the week of March 16–22, a brand new all-time high within the DeFi Rate monitoring interval, pushed by back-to-back report weeks from Kalshi and a significant surge from Polymarket as Round…
Prediction markets generated greater than $200 million in reported buying and selling tied to the 2026 Academy Awards, as contracts associated to Hollywood’s largest evening drew heavy exercise on Kalshi and Polymarket. The whole displays buying and selling throughout dozens of Oscars-related markets on the 2 platforms, together with contracts predicting who would win particular…
The headline quantity $5.89B throughout all tracked prediction market platforms for the week of March 2–8 seems like a near-repeat of the week prior, however that’s not precisely the case. The whole got here in nearly flat (-0.4% WoW) solely as a result of Kalshi and Polymarket every gained floor whereas the remainder of the…
Kalshi’s SOTU point out markets opened on Jan. 9 with 25 contracts and stored including by speech day, ending at 55. By the time Trump walked into the chamber on Feb. 24, merchants had already put $2.50 million to work positioning throughout all the pieces from “Crypto / Bitcoin” to “Discombobulator.” Then Trump’s speech ran…
When President Trump delivers his second State of the Union deal with of his second time period tonight, tens of millions of individuals can be watching. A major quantity of them will even be buying and selling on what he’ll say, and who he’ll point out. Mention markets, binary contracts that resolve based mostly on…
Combined weekly notional quantity throughout high prediction market platforms dropped to $5.3 billion for the total week following the Super Bowl, a modest dip contemplating the present focus of sports activities quantity throughout the trade. Kalshi and Polymarket mixed for $4.3 billion in quantity within the week ending Feb. 15, in accordance to DeFi Rate’s…