Sen. Darline Graham Nordone has the appointment, President Donald Trump’s endorsement and the strongest prediction market value in South Carolina’s particular Senate race. What she nonetheless lacks is the Republican nomination. The interim senator, appointed to fill the seat left vacant by her late brother, Sen. Lindsey Graham, did not win a majority within the…
Kalshi should halt most of its occasion contract operations in Washington underneath a sweeping preliminary injunction that extends effectively past the sports activities contracts focused by most different states. An order signed Wednesday finalizing the injunction’s phrases bars Kalshi from providing or facilitating Washington trades involving sports activities, elections, politics, leisure, tradition, expertise and science,…
Prediction markets accurately traded on the highest Minnesota primaries proper Tuesday evening, accurately calling Democratic Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan’s Senate win, former sports activities broadcaster Michele Tafoya’s Republican nomination and each gubernatorial nominees. It was a robust restoration after prediction markets’ uneven Wisconsin efficiency, the place markets were overly confident in progressive Democratic State Rep….
Wisconsin Democrats bought the candidate their centrist wing wished, however solely after one of many yr’s greatest prediction market misses. Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley narrowly defeated state Rep. Francesca Hong, 39.81% to 39.34%, in Tuesday’s Democratic gubernatorial main, ending a marketing campaign that markets had largely handled as settled in Hong’s favor. Hong went…
The Wisconsin Democratic governor major has change into the most recent check of a progressive wave that has already reshaped races throughout the nation in the course of the 2026 midterm major cycle. State Rep. Francesca Hong is polling effectively, buying and selling like a near-lock, and headed into Tuesday as the candidate more than…
Democrats entered 2026 realizing the Senate map wouldn’t give them a lot room for error, however prediction markets are suggesting the trail is perhaps clearing. They want a internet achieve of 4 seats to achieve 51, which implies defending their very own battleground incumbents and open seats whereas flipping a number of Republican-held seats that,…
Prediction market exercise rebounded this week after three consecutive weeks of declines. Combined comparable buying and selling quantity on Kalshi and Polymarket Global elevated 5.8% from the earlier week, reaching $10.30 billion. Kalshi remained the clear market chief, accounting for 81.3% of mixed comparable quantity, whereas Polymarket Global posted its first weekly enhance in a…
Minnesota’s Tuesday primaries have two very totally different tales beneath them, and prediction markets are watching carefully. The Democratic Senate contest is one other referendum on the progressive wave that has reshaped Democratic 2026 midterm primaries this yr, whereas the governor’s race appears way more easy on the Democratic aspect and unusually unsettled for Republicans….
Prediction markets have caught as much as the media hype, and Texas is now not buying and selling like a secure Republican Senate seat on prediction markets. Democratic State Rep. James Talarico, who entered the normal election race as a protracted shot towards Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, has now drawn even with the Republican…
President Donald Trump has spent months avoiding a public alternative between Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, usually presenting each as potential heirs within the 2028 presidential election. But not too long ago reported personal feedback to donors are the clearest proof but that he could also be leaning towards Vance. …