Key Takeaways ▸ Kalshi posted $17.91B in notional quantity in May, a ninth consecutive month-to-month document whereas Polymarket fell to $7.08B, its lowest since January. ▸ Kalshi processed 111 million transactions in May vs. Polymarket’s 69 million, the widest transaction hole within the tracked interval and a reversal of the Polymarket lead that held by…
Prediction markets merchants are beginning to deal with the Republican 2028 presidential main much less like a runaway and extra like an precise contest. Vice President JD Vance still leads, however Secretary of State Marco Rubio has closed the hole sharply over the previous month on each Kalshi and Polymarket to be the 2028 Republican…
Prediction markets merchants are beginning to deal with the Republican 2028 presidential major much less like a runaway and extra like an precise contest. Vice President JD Vance still leads, however Secretary of State Marco Rubio has closed the hole sharply over the previous month on each Kalshi and Polymarket to be the 2028 Republican…
Robinhood is utilizing the 2026 World Cup to carry Rothera deeper into its prediction markets enterprise, increasing the app’s soccer providing simply days after the Robinhood-backed alternate started powering its first occasion contracts. The firm stated Thursday that it’s launching World Cup markets protecting particular person matches, group and event winners, spreads, totals, participant contracts…
Days after a federal jury convicted short seller Andrew Left of moving stock prices through public commentary for personal profit, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig said the same logic applies to prediction markets. “If somebody is engaging in behavior to drive up the price artificially, of course, we’re gonna consider a manipulation action,” Selig said Tuesday…
New Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez introduced his workplace’s lawsuit in state court docket towards Kalshi on Thursday, searching for to dam entry to sporting event-related contract buying and selling on the corporate’s alternate for folks throughout the state’s borders. With the motion, Torrez joins many different state attorneys basic who’ve taken or are at…
Justin Murphy pulled off a late upset in the New Jersey Republican Senate main, one thing prediction markets didn’t see coming. Heading into Tuesday’s main, Murphy was a distant third on each Polymarket and Kalshi to win the GOP nomination to face off towards incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker. Former TV newsman Alex Zdan had…
Despite a current texting scandal involving Graham Platner, prediction markets are barely budging in anticipating a secure win for the Democratic Senate candidate in Maine over incumbent Susan Collins. Traders are nonetheless leaning Democratic on Polymarket at 65%. Kalshi has seen a reasonable slip all through Monday, however not an entire crater, with Democrat buying…
The Montana Senate race is a type of odd little corners of the 2026 map the place the polling and the prediction markets are telling barely totally different tales, and that hole is precisely what makes it price being attentive to. Prediction markets are closely leaning Republican, however impartial Seth Bodnar is sitting because the…
The 2026 World Cup is projected to attract greater than $2.5 billion in buying and selling quantity throughout US prediction markets, with Kalshi taking in an estimated $1.47 billion of it, in keeping with DeFi Rate projections. As a world occasion that has traditionally drawn restricted US curiosity, it arrives at the actual second these…