The ultimate March numbers are in, they usually verify what the mid-month trajectory instructed: March 2026 was the most important month on report for U.S. prediction markets. Kalshi closed at $13.07 billion in notional quantity and 88.4 million transactions, up 25% month-over-month on each metrics. Polymarket completed at $10.57 billion (+33% MoM) and 115.4 million…
Kalshi has already posted $12.35 billion in notional quantity in March 2026, surpassing its earlier all-time high of $10.44 billion set throughout Super Bowl month in February. It’s an 18.3% month-over-month leap with two days of quantity nonetheless to gather for March. Meanwhile, Polymarket’s international platform has exceeded $10 billion in month-to-month quantity for the…
The numbers prediction market watchers had been anticipating since Selection Sunday lastly arrived final week. Prediction market business notional quantity hit $6.41 billion for the week of March 16–22, a brand new all-time high within the DeFi Rate monitoring interval, pushed by back-to-back report weeks from Kalshi and a significant surge from Polymarket as Round…
The headline quantity $5.89B throughout all tracked prediction market platforms for the week of March 2–8 seems like a near-repeat of the week prior, however that’s not precisely the case. The whole got here in nearly flat (-0.4% WoW) solely as a result of Kalshi and Polymarket every gained floor whereas the remainder of the…
Total notional quantity throughout tracked prediction exchanges rebounded to $5.80 billion for the week of Feb. 23–March 1, a ten.4% acquire from the $5.25 billion posted the prior week. The headline soar tells a part of the story however the internals inform the remainder. Polymarket surged 31.9% to $2.40 billion — its largest weekly exhibiting…
A brand new Federal Reserve analysis paper is placing prediction markets, and Kalshi particularly, extra squarely into the macroeconomic forecasting dialog. Published by way of the Fed’s Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS), the examine analyzes information from Kalshi’s occasion contracts tied to inflation, Fed fee choices, GDP and unemployment, analyzing whether or not these…