How to Bet on Super Bowl LX in California: Best Prediction Market Apps Compared
California nonetheless has no authorized sports activities betting choices, however that doesn’t imply you’ll be able to’t wager on the Super Bowl at authorized and controlled platforms. What makes that attainable is that federally regulated prediction markets now function beneath CFTC jurisdiction in all 50 states, together with California. And with Super Bowl LX between the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots kicking off Sunday at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, the timing couldn’t be extra related for the roughly 39 million Californians who’ve by no means had a authorized manner to put cash on the massive sport from the consolation of dwelling.
California residents can do extra than simply choose what team will win the Super Bowl. They can commerce on who scores the primary landing, whether or not the Seahawks will cowl the unfold, which manufacturers will run Super Bowl advertisements, halftime present props, what the announcers will say, the colour of the Gatorade tub, the size of the nationwide anthem, and which celebrities can be in attendance.
That vary of markets, from conventional sport strains to off-field novelty contracts that you just gained’t discover at state-licensed sportsbooks, is what units prediction markets aside for California clients. And quantity displays the demand: Kalshi’s Super Bowl champion contract alone crossed $180 million in buying and selling greater than a day forward of the occasion, roughly 5x what the identical market generated final 12 months, with the majority of buying and selling motion nonetheless to come.
After testing each main platform from California, right here’s how they examine and which of them make sense relying on what you’re on the lookout for.
Which prediction market platforms can be found in California?
The quick reply: virtually all of them. Because prediction market platforms function as CFTC-registered Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) — or route orders by way of one — they don’t want state playing licenses. Federal preemption means California’s lack of sports activities betting laws is irrelevant for these merchandise, at the very least at current.
Here’s a breakdown of what’s reside in California proper now with Super Bowl markets:
| Platform | Fees | Bonus | Super Bowl markets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | ~$0.02/contract | Trade $10, get $10 (code: DEFI) | Game, unfold, totals, props, parlays, MVP, halftime, commercials, mentions, celebrities |
| OG Predictions (from Crypto.com) | $0.02–$0.20 | Up to $500 | Game, unfold, totals, props, MVP, halftime, anthem, coin toss, Gatorade |
| Robinhood | $0.02/contract | No bonus | Same as Kalshi (routes by way of Kalshi) |
| Coinbase | ~$0.02/contract | $5 BTC + spin wheel | Same as Kalshi (routes by way of Kalshi) |
| Polymarket US | 0.01% taker charge | $10 free commerce | Game solely (for US merchants) |
| DraftKings | $0.01/contract | 100% match up to $75 | Game, participant props, halftime present, anthem, gatorade, pre-set parlays |
| FanDuel | $0.01/contract | No bonus | Game end result |
| Sleeper | ~$0.02/contract | No bonus | Game, unfold, totals, MVP, halftime, commercials, celebrities |
| PrizePicks Predict | ~$0.02/contract | No bonus | Game, tradition picks |
| Underdog Predict | $0.02–$0.20 | No bonus | Game, unfold, totals |
| Fanatics Markets | $0.02–$0.20 | Up to $75 match bonus | Game end result |
| Gemini Predictions | Free (restricted time) | No bonus | Game, halftime, MVP |
That’s 12 platforms with Super Bowl markets confirmed obtainable to California residents.
How deposit choices differ throughout platforms
How you fund your account varies greater than you may anticipate — and for some California customers, this would be the deciding issue.
Most fiat-native platforms (Kalshi, Robinhood, DraftKings, FanDuel, Sleeper, PrizePicks) settle for ACH financial institution transfers without spending a dime, with funds usually obtainable instantly even whereas the switch clears over 1–3 enterprise days. Kalshi, OG, and a number of other others additionally settle for debit playing cards for instantaneous funding, although card deposits usually carry a 2% charge — price it should you’re making an attempt to get positioned earlier than kickoff Sunday, much less so should you’re planning forward.
Robinhood and Coinbase have the best on-ramp should you’re already a person: your present brokerage or change stability is out there for prediction market buying and selling with none further deposit. Coinbase additionally enables you to fund trades with USDC straight out of your crypto stability, which eliminates the ACH wait solely should you’re already holding stablecoins.
Polymarket US permits deposits with Apple Pay, financial institution or wire switch and debit card deposit, however the platform solely had a moneyline choice for Super Bowl heading into the weekend. Kalshi has the identical choices as Polymarket but additionally permits some crypto deposit choices. OG and Gemini each supply hybrid fiat/crypto funding choices, reflecting their crypto change roots. OG accepts commonplace financial institution transfers alongside crypto deposits, whereas Gemini enables you to fund out of your present change stability or hyperlink a checking account.
The DFS platforms — Sleeper, PrizePicks, Underdog — deal with deposits by way of their present cost rails, which generally means financial institution switch or debit card by way of the app you’re already utilizing.
What all of it means: if velocity issues and also you need to commerce by Sunday, debit card on Kalshi or utilizing present balances on Robinhood/Coinbase are your quickest paths. If price issues extra, ACH is free in every single place that helps it. If you’re crypto-native, Coinbase, Gemini and OG provide the most flexibility inside California.
Best app for betting Super Bowl in CA: relies upon on what you need to commerce
Not all prediction market platforms are interchangeable. The market choice, charge buildings, and person expertise differ considerably. Here’s how to take into consideration which platform matches your priorities.
Best for deepest Super Bowl market choice: Kalshi
If you need the widest vary of Super Bowl contracts in one place, Kalshi is the clear alternative. With over 3,500 whole markets and the deepest liquidity in the trade, Kalshi’s Super Bowl providing goes nicely past choosing the winner. You can commerce sport strains (moneyline, unfold, totals), participant props, MVP odds, combos (parlays), halftime show outcomes, which brands will advertise, what the announcers will say, and which celebrities will attend. For these on the lookout for depth on participant props and customized parlays they name “combos,” Kalshi is the clear alternative.
Kalshi can also be the quickest to get onboarded. Most customers report same-day verification, and instantaneous deposit through debit card means you will be buying and selling inside minutes (although the two% card charge makes ACH the higher choice in case you have time). The 2% debit card charge is commonly waived for brand spanking new clients, nevertheless. At Kalshi, money and positions earn 3.25% APY, which is a pleasant perk that almost all opponents don’t supply.
The trade $10, get $10 bonus with code DEFI makes it the simplest start line. Fee construction is variable, normally between $0.01 and $0.02 per contract, which is aggressive however can creep up on longshot contracts the place rounding inflates the efficient fee.
Best for: Traders who need one platform with every thing — sport strains, props, parlays, and off-field novelty markets.
Best total worth with greatest bonus: OG Predictions
Crypto.com launched OG as a standalone prediction markets app in February 2026, and it got here out of the gate with essentially the most aggressive bonus in the trade: up to $500 for the first million users. OG operates on Crypto.com‘s personal CFTC-regulated stack (DCM + DCO + FCM), which suggests it isn’t routing by way of anybody else’s change.
Super Bowl market choice is robust. OG covers sport outcomes, unfold, totals, participant props, MVP, halftime, nationwide anthem, coin toss, and Gatorade shade — just a few distinctive markets you gained’t discover in every single place. The interface is sports-focused with a user-friendly interface, with charges of $0.01 to $0.02 per contract, comparable to sports-focused opponents.
Available in 49 states (all however New York). If you’re in California and wish to maximize your bonus {dollars} for the Super Bowl, OG is definitely worth the sign-up.
Best for: Bonus hunters and merchants who need sports-forward markets with a beneficiant welcome supply.
Best for present brokerage customers: Robinhood
If you have already got a Robinhood account, prediction markets are only a tab away. Robinhood routes all prediction market orders by way of Kalshi, so that you’re getting the very same markets, the identical liquidity, simply wrapped in Robinhood’s acquainted brokerage UX. The key differentiator is Robinhood provides a $0.01/contract change charge on prime of $0.01/contract for Kalshi, so that you’re getting charged a premium.
The benefit is consolidation. Stocks, crypto, and predictions reside in one account, and uninvested money earns 4% APY (FDIC insured up to $2.5M). The drawback is that there’s no sign-up bonus for predictions particularly, and also you’ll want to arrange a separate derivatives account inside the app.
Robinhood processed 2.5 billion prediction market contracts in October 2025 alone, making it one of many largest entry factors for Kalshi markets. In January 2026, the corporate acquired MIAXdx with Susquehanna to finally construct its personal change, however for now every thing nonetheless routes by way of Kalshi.
Best for: Robinhood customers who don’t need one other app. Same Kalshi markets, acquainted interface.
Best charge construction for energetic merchants: Polymarket
Polymarket has the bottom charges in the trade at simply 0.01% taker-only charge — considerably cheaper than the $0.02/contract flat charge most opponents cost, significantly on higher-priced contracts. The platform additionally presents liquidity rewards for putting restrict orders, which suggests energetic merchants can truly earn rebates.
Polymarket returned to the US market in December 2025 after buying QCEX for its DCM license. The US app at the moment presents sports activities markets solely, with politics and different classes anticipated later. Super Bowl markets, nevertheless, are surprisingly restricted: The app solely presents buying and selling on the championship winner as of the day earlier than the sport.
Best for: Active merchants and fee-conscious customers who solely need to commerce on the sport winner for Super Bowl 60.
Best for sportbook natives: DraftKings or FanDuel
DraftKings Predictions and FanDuel Predicts each cost $0.01 per contract + change charge. Both platforms share the identical CME Group order ebook, however DraftKings added markets from Crypto.com two days earlier than the Super Bowl. In addition to sport winner, unfold and over/beneath, DraftKings now additionally presents markets on landing scorers, speeding, passing, receiving yards, plus sport props, pre-set parlays, and non-athletic SB trades associated to the halftime present.
The tradeoff is market choice. Both are extra restricted on Super Bowl markets in contrast to Kalshi or Polymarket, although DraftKings now has the sting on market depth. DraftKings additionally has a 100% deposit match up to $75 bonus for the Super Bowl.
Both corporations have acknowledged they’ll exit sports activities prediction markets in any state that legalizes sports activities betting — which is price noting given the continuing California regulatory panorama, although that’s unlikely to change imminently.
Best for: Those on the lookout for an interface related to sportsbooks with choices for American odds. For these on the lookout for extra market depth and a welcome supply, DraftKings is the higher choice.
Best for fantasy sports activities customers: Sleeper, PrizePicks, or Underdog
Three main DFS platforms now supply prediction markets by way of their present apps, all launching inside the previous a number of months:
Sleeper just went live on Friday with a Kalshi integration, bringing sports activities occasion contracts to its 10 million customers. The “Team Picks” interface covers sport outcomes, spreads, totals, MVP, and off-field Super Bowl markets. Fees are ~$0.02/contract ($0.01 Sleeper + $0.01 Kalshi change charge). The benefit is protecting every thing — fantasy leagues, DFS picks, social options, and now prediction markets — in one place.
PrizePicks Predict routes by way of Kalshi as nicely, providing each Team Picks (sports activities sport outcomes) and Culture Picks (leisure, politics, popular culture). Underdog Predict makes use of Crypto.com’s CDNA change, with charges in the $0.02/contract vary.
None of those platforms at the moment supply a prediction-specific sign-up bonus, and all carry the identical charges as their underlying change companions — so there’s no price financial savings versus buying and selling straight on Kalshi or Crypto.com. The worth proposition is comfort and the present person group.
Best for: Fantasy sports activities gamers who need to commerce with out downloading one other app.
Best for crypto-native customers: Gemini Predictions
Gemini launched predictions in December 2025 with fee-free buying and selling for a restricted time — making it the most cost effective choice obtainable proper now should you’re comfy with the crypto change interface. Super Bowl markets embody sport end result, halftime, and MVP.
The platform operates on its personal DCM license (by way of affiliate Gemini Titan, LLC), which provides it regulatory independence. Liquidity remains to be constructing in contrast to Kalshi or Polymarket, and market depth is extra restricted, so there are some drawbacks. But it’s one other platform the place you will have all of the completely different buying and selling choices in one place, although with restricted sports activities market depth as of now.
Best for: Crypto customers who need fee-free Super Bowl trades whereas the promotion lasts.
Why Super Bowl buying and selling is authorized in California (and what might change)
The authorized framework rests on a easy distinction: prediction market contracts are categorized as commodity derivatives regulated by the CFTC, not as wagers regulated by state playing commissions. The Commodity Exchange Act offers the federal framework, and the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act (UIGEA) particularly excludes CFTC-regulated contracts from its definition of unlawful playing.
This issues for California legal betting options as a result of it means sports activities occasion contracts bypass the state’s prohibition on on-line sports activities betting solely. You’re not putting a wager with a sportsbook — you’re buying and selling a federally regulated monetary contract on an change. The platforms don’t want a California gaming license for a similar purpose inventory exchanges don’t want one.
That mentioned, this framework is actively being challenged. Three California tribes — the Blue Lake Rancheria, Picayune Rancheria, and Chicken Ranch Rancheria — sued Kalshi and Robinhood in federal courtroom in July 2025, arguing that sports activities occasion contracts violate tribal gaming compacts. In November 2025, Judge Jacqueline Scott Corley denied the tribes’ request for a preliminary injunction, discovering that UIGEA’s exclusion for CFTC-regulated merchandise applies.
But the decide additionally famous that Kalshi could have discovered a regulatory workaround that wasn’t anticipated by the framers of those legal guidelines. The case is ongoing, and different states have filed separate authorized challenges. More than 20 lawsuits and cease-and-desist orders are pending towards prediction market operators throughout roughly a dozen states.
For now, the markets are reside and authorized in California. Whether that holds by way of 2026 relies upon on federal courtroom rulings that haven’t been determined but. But buying and selling is secure for the 2026 Super Bowl.
Tax therapy: an actual benefit over conventional playing
One underappreciated advantage of buying and selling prediction markets versus conventional sports activities betting: the tax therapy. Because occasion contracts are categorized as commodity derivatives, beneficial properties obtain capital beneficial properties therapy moderately than being taxed as playing winnings. Losses will be deducted towards peculiar revenue (up to $3,000 per 12 months for web losses), and also you don’t want to itemize deductions to declare them.
Compare that to playing, the place losses can solely be deducted towards playing winnings and provided that you itemize. A current provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill additionally caps playing loss deductions at 90% of reported winnings, making the tax penalty on high-volume bettors even steeper. For California merchants, this tax distinction alone could also be purpose to contemplate prediction markets.
Active Super Bowl bonuses for California merchants
Several platforms are working promotions forward of Sunday. You can declare a number of presents with out battle since every requires a separate account:
| Platform | Offer | Code | How to declare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Trade $10, get $10 free | DEFI | Sign up, enter code, commerce $10 inside 90 days |
| OG Predictions | Up to $500 | None wanted | Sign up, deposit, commerce — first 1M customers |
| DraftKings | 100% match up to $75 | Check app | Sign up, deposit, auto-matched |
| Polymarket | $10 free commerce | Enter code on sign-up |
For a full comparability of energetic bonuses and step-by-step declare directions, see our prediction market promo code guide.
How to get began
If you’re new to prediction markets and wish to commerce the Super Bowl from California, right here’s the quickest path:
Pick a platform. For most individuals, Kalshi is the only start line — quickest onboarding, deepest market choice, and a $10 bonus. If you need the most important bonus, go together with OG. If you’re already on Robinhood or Coinbase, simply activate predictions inside your present app.
Complete id verification. All CFTC-regulated platforms require KYC — government-issued ID, SSN, present handle. Most approvals take minutes, although some customers with widespread names or current handle modifications see delays of 1–2 enterprise days.
Fund your account. ACH financial institution switch is free on most platforms and infrequently offers instantaneous deposit availability even whereas the switch clears. Debit playing cards work for fast funding however usually carry a 2% charge. If you’re already on Robinhood or Coinbase, your present stability works instantly. See the deposit choices breakdown above for the total comparability.
Start with markets you perceive. Contracts are priced $0.01 to $0.99, with the worth representing implied chance. A $0.68 contract on the Seahawks to win means the market thinks there’s a 68% likelihood Seattle takes it. If they do, every contract pays $1. If they don’t, it pays $0. You can promote your place at any time earlier than settlement if the worth strikes in your favor — or towards you.
Trade responsibly in CA
California’s prediction market panorama has expanded dramatically in the previous few months. A 12 months in the past, the concept of legally buying and selling on the Super Bowl from Los Angeles or San Francisco would have appeared far-fetched. Now there are a dozen platforms competing for your online business, with lots of of thousands and thousands in quantity traded on the sport end result alone.
The platforms are regulated, the entry is easy, and the charges are usually aggressive with or higher than what conventional sportsbooks cost by way of the vig. Whether you’re buying and selling sport strains, participant props, what Bad Bunny will perform first, or what Collinsworth will say on the printed, the markets are open.
Just keep in mind: occasion contract buying and selling carries monetary threat, and whereas prediction markets are at the moment authorized in California, the authorized panorama remains to be evolving. Trade with cash you’ll be able to afford to lose, and compare platforms carefully earlier than depositing. For the most recent odds throughout platforms, observe our live Super Bowl odds tracker.
If you or somebody you recognize has a playing downside, sources can be found on the California Problem Gambling Helpline: 1-800-GAMBLER.
The publish How to Bet on Super Bowl LX in California: Best Prediction Market Apps Compared appeared first on DeFi Rate.
