Trump to meet Coinbase, Ripple and crypto leaders as CLARITY Act odds collapse to 10%
President Donald Trump and the heads of the SEC and CFTC are anticipated to meet crypto and prediction-market executives on the White House subsequent week as the trade’s greatest legislative precedence faces dwindling odds of turning into legislation this 12 months.
According to reviews, the Aug. 19 gathering is anticipated to embrace executives from Coinbase, Andreessen Horowitz, Ripple, Chainlink, Kalshi and Paradigm, together with representatives from the Digital Chamber. Executives from Kraken, Gemini, the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq have additionally been invited.
Trump and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Michael Selig are amongst these anticipated to take part, whereas Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Paul Atkins can be set to attend. The last attendance listing stays topic to change.
The assembly comes lower than a month earlier than the Senate is scheduled to take its subsequent procedural step on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, laws designed to set up federal guidelines for crypto markets and divide oversight between the SEC and CFTC.
It additionally arrives as each businesses more and more use their present authority to form crypto coverage whereas Congress struggles to end the broader framework.
Polymarket merchants on Saturday assigned the CLARITY Act a roughly 19% chance of being signed into legislation in 2026, down from a peak of 82% on Feb. 19. Even that diminished market-implied chance is sort of twice Galaxy Digital’s 10% estimate for passage this 12 months.
CLARITY Act’s bipartisan coalition faces a September wall
CLARITY entered the summer season with one thing few main crypto payments have managed to safe: substantial bipartisan help in each chambers of Congress.
That coalition has since fractured underneath disputes which have much less to do with the structure of crypto regulation than with the politics surrounding it.
The Senate Banking Committee superior the legislation 15-9 on May 14, with Democratic Sens. Ruben Gallego and Angela Alsobrooks becoming a member of all 13 Republicans. The House had already permitted H.R. 3633 by a 294-134 vote in July 2025, with 78 Democrats backing the measure.
But negotiations deteriorated over restrictions on crypto actions by senior authorities officers, limits on stablecoin rewards and protections in opposition to illicit finance. Banks have additionally pressed lawmakers to restrict rewards offered by stablecoin platforms, warning that yield-bearing merchandise might pull deposits away from the standard banking system.
The greatest impediment now could be the ethics dispute surrounding Trump’s crypto ventures.
Galaxy Digital stated the laws has successfully shifted from a coverage negotiation right into a political one. A bipartisan group of senators despatched the White House a proposed ethics framework on July 30, however the administration has not publicly agreed to it.
Without a compromise, Galaxy stated supporters might don’t have any viable path to the 60 Senate votes wanted to advance the invoice.
That stalemate pushed CLARITY previous the Senate’s August recess with no flooring vote.
Nevertheless, Senate Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture on the movement to proceed earlier than lawmakers left Washington, organising an early test when the Senate returns Sept. 14.
However, the calendar leaves little margin for an additional breakdown. The Senate is anticipated to spend solely about three weeks in session earlier than lawmakers go away Washington round Oct. 2 for midterm election campaigning.
Galaxy estimates that CLARITY would want to start transferring nearly instantly and eat a considerable portion of that interval to have a sensible probability of clearing the chamber this 12 months.
That makes Wednesday’s White House gathering extra consequential. Executives from a number of the corporations which have spent years lobbying for federal crypto laws will meet administration officers simply weeks earlier than the Senate determines whether or not CLARITY nonetheless has sufficient political help to transfer ahead.
SEC and CFTC push forward on crypto laws
As CLARITY Act runs into political and scheduling constraints within the Senate, the SEC and CFTC are already testing how a lot of Washington’s crypto agenda may be superior underneath present legislation.
The SEC has been growing two main initiatives underneath Chair Atkins, together with Reg Crypto, a tailor-made framework for sure crypto choices, and an Innovation Exemption that may permit restricted experimentation with tokenized securities and onchain buying and selling.
However, progress has been uneven. The fee had scheduled an Aug. 14 vote on the crypto-offering proposal earlier than canceling the meeting a day earlier with out setting a brand new date. The separate Innovation Exemption has additionally confronted delays amid resistance from elements of the standard securities trade.
Both initiatives deal with questions that CLARITY is meant to settle extra completely, together with how digital belongings may be issued and traded and which federal guidelines ought to apply. But their stop-start rollout displays the boundaries regulators face in attempting to transfer forward whereas Congress stays divided.
The CFTC, in the meantime, is transferring extra aggressively.
Chair Selig said the company wants to hear instantly from the businesses constructing new monetary merchandise if regulators are to preserve tempo with innovation.
The CFTC will convene its inaugural Innovation Advisory Committee assembly on Aug. 20, bringing collectively executives, entrepreneurs and market members to focus on the way forward for monetary regulation.
The assembly builds on the company’s more and more assertive method to prediction markets.
On Aug. 11, the CFTC invoked emergency authority after Kalshi warned {that a} lawsuit introduced by New York might disrupt its federally regulated event-contract market nationwide.
Selig ordered the change to proceed working underneath federal derivatives guidelines and has argued that states can not override the nationwide framework governing CFTC-regulated markets.
That dispute is a part of a broader struggle between the fee and a number of states over whether or not prediction contracts ought to primarily be ruled by federal derivatives legislation or state playing guidelines.
The SEC and CFTC can not replicate the total scope or permanence of CLARITY by way of exemptions, rulemaking and interpretations of present legislation. But each businesses are already trying to set up elements of the regulatory framework Congress has but to enact.
That stress will carry into the White House gathering, the place Atkins and Selig are anticipated to meet executives whose companies sit instantly on the middle of each the stalled laws and the regulators’ efforts to transfer with out it.
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