Key Takeaways ▸ JD Vance is the clear front-runner (~35–39% throughout markets), reflecting conventional heir-apparent dynamics greater than a wide-open race. ▸ Donald Trump trades at low odds (~2–3%) however his shadow will proceed to form the board. ▸ Polymarket (~$600M) and Kalshi (~$33M) GOP markets are lively, although properly behind Democratic volumes (~$1B /…
Key Takeaways ▸ Traders are closely engaged in a race with no declared candidates and primaries nonetheless two years away. ▸ Newsom leads, however area remains to be large open with AOC, Ossoff, and Harris clustered behind and no clear consensus. ▸ Odds replicate momentum and media cycles. not fundamentals, establishing sharp swings forward. Prediction…
Key Takeaways ▸ Regulators moved from warnings to a proposed $5M high-quality, formally labeling Kalshi’s occasion contracts as unlicensed sports activities gaming. ▸ With enforcement now materials, Kalshi has stronger footing to attraction or once more search injunctive aid, whereas weighing potential Ohio market restrictions. The Ohio Casino Control Commission (OCCC) is escalating enforcement motion…
Key Takeaways ▸ Polymarket US recorded $255.9 million in notional buying and selling quantity in March 2026, together with a high of $88.8 million the week of March 30. ▸ The platform launched its first political and financial markets on April 8 with many extra imminent. ▸ Polymarket US is ready to scale, with a…
The Trump administration is all of a sudden trying like a churn‑heavy second‑time period authorities, with Attorney General Pam Bondi out this week and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem dumped in March. The two high‑profile exits have left prediction markets buzzing with odds on the subsequent Cabinet‑degree departure and the subsequent Attorney General nominee. Both Kalshi and Polymarket merchants…
Fox News Media will combine forecast knowledge from prediction market platform Kalshi throughout its information and streaming platforms, marking the corporate’s newest push to embed real-time chance alerts into mainstream media protection. The settlement will convey Kalshi’s event-based forecasts to the top-rated Fox News Channel, in addition to Fox Business, Fox Weather and the FOX…
Key Takeaways ▸ A ruling in the US Third Circuit upheld Kalshi’s preliminary injunction, permitting the platform to proceed providing markets in New Jersey whereas the case proceeds. ▸ The court docket dominated dominated that the Commodity Exchange Act offers the CFTC unique authority over swaps together with prediction markets, limiting state enforcement. ▸ New…
UFC struggle night time promo code: DEFI | Offer: $10 bonus after $10 in trades | Deposit required: $1 minimal Kalshi is providing a $10 promo for UFC Vegas 115: Moicano vs. Duncan. New customers qualify for a $10 bonus utilizing Kalshi promo code DEFI for Moicano vs. Duncan. Prelims begin at 5pm ET, most important card at 8pm ET…
Promo code: DEFI | Offer: $10 bonus after $10 in trades | Deposit required: $1 minimal The 2026 Final Four is right here, and in the event you’ve been ready for a purpose to attempt Kalshi’s prediction markets, right this moment’s TBS doubleheader is it. Two tight semifinal matchups — Illinois vs. UConn at 6:09…
Financial companies firm Robinhood has sued a number of essential figures in Washington’s authorities, together with Washington Attorney General Nick Brown, in a federal courtroom. Robinhood’s criticism makes clear that it’s a response to Brown’s lawsuit towards Kalshi and asks the courtroom to enjoin Washington from taking related civil motion towards Robinhood. Robinhood calls enforcement…